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NASCAR Futures: 2024 Season Win Totals Odds, Picks & Predictions

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As the sun sets on another football season, it rises in Daytona, Fla. This is Speedweek, the official first word of another chapter in NASCAR’s history. It also marks the final opportunity for the sport’s bettors to invest in the season win totals market, a favorite for those motorsports degenerates looking for a near nine-month sweat.

Considering a successful Busch light Clash at the Coliseum that led me to +10.5 units and a presumptive lighter Daytona 500 card coming later this week, I’m ready to push some chips into the middle, not to see them again until November.

Here are my best NASCAR futures bets for the 2024 season win totals market.

NASCAR Futures: 2024 Season Win Totals Odds, Picks & Predictions

Cup Series

Denny Hamlin Over 2.5 Wins (+108 via BetRivers Sportsbook) | 2u

To find Denny Hamlin at plus money for three wins, especially after winning the Clash, was surprising, to say the least. The sport’s new proverbial villain or savior (depending on how you look at it) is hot off a three-win season and could have won at least a few more times if races had stayed green.

The driver of the Joe Gibbs Racing (JGR) No. 11 Toyota Camry has averaged four wins per season over the last four years and has hit the over on this total in the last three of five. That’s without even winning at a superspeedway in the last three seasons, despite being one of the top restrictor-plate racers. With the new Toyota noses expected to improve the manufacturer at drafting tracks and two more Camrys now in the field, Hamlin has a better shot at winning on the superspeedways.

The 43-year-old was tied for second last year with the most T10s (19) and third for the most T5s (14). He should be plenty motivated after a stellar 2023 was cut short before the championship race. I expect Hamlin to clear this total before the Cup Series even hits the postseason.

Joey Logano Over 1.5 Wins (+105 via BetRivers Sportsbook) | 2u

It was good to see some fire out of Joey Logano at the Clash following a disappointing, one-win 2023 season. Despite the surprising first-round playoffs exit, Logano still finished the year ninth in T10s (17) and - even better - fourth in T5s (11). He remains ninth in ifantasyrace.com‘s combined total speed rankings for the past three seasons and, maybe most impressively, has six poles in the Next Gen era (since 2022).

This year’s Cup Series schedule also positions the Middletown, Conn., native to clear two wins. He’ll likely be the favorite of an inaugural race at Iowa Speedway, having won two of the last four new tracks in their debut. He’ll get another crack at the Chicago Street Race after finishing eighth their last year. Plus, NASCAR returns to the oval at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, where Logano has finished with a T10 in seven of his last eight races.

Logano’s racecraft is still some of the best in the sport. He starts out front his fair share and puts himself in a position to win late in races. That eventually leads to victories, as accounted for in his 2.3-wins-per-season average over the past six years. Expect at least a pair of wins and perhaps even a deep playoff win for the Team Penske No. 22 Ford Mustang.

Xfinity Series

Jesse Love Over 0.5 Wins (-140 via Caesars Sportsbook) | 1.5u

If you’re unfamiliar with Jesse Love, meet the potential future face of stock car racing. Love is a talented young driver who won half of the races in the ARCA Menards Series - the lowest level of NASCAR - a year ago. Though fewer than a dozen full-time drivers are in the series, Love finished T5 in 17 of the 20 races.

Perhaps even more impressive than the 19-year-old’s dominant ARCA season were his limited runs in the Truck Series. Love scored a T10 in two of his three truck races, finishing 13th in the other.

Love will pilot the Richard Childress Racing (RCR) No. 2 car in the Xfinity Series this season. While Sheldon Creed seemed jinxed at times and unable to win a race in it a year ago, he finished the season with seven T5s and 15 T10s. Plus, we’re not too far removed from 2019, when Tyler Reddick won the championship in this No. 2 car.

Love’s current odds to win the Xfinity Series title are the 12th-highest at 30-1 via Caesars Sportsbook. With an average of 12.3 drivers winning an Xfinity race each of the past three seasons, Love should have his fair share of opportunities to get into victory lane. While the odds are a bit juiced, they have been shrinking since opening at this line of 0.5 wins. I’m willing to get in now and take a modest return when the Menlo Park, Calif. native takes the checkered flag later this season.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

Seth Woolcock is a featured writer and editor at BettingPros. For more sports betting and fantasy sports analysis from Seth, check out In-Between Media and follow him @Between_SethFF.

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