NBA All-Star Weekend: 3-Point Contest Picks & Predictions (2025)
Over the last few years, the NBA 3-Point Contest has become the premier event of NBA All-Star Weekend. With eight of the league’s best shooters competing, it is sure to get the excitement going in San Francisco.
Damian Lillard will look to retain his crown as the 3-Point Champion and join Larry Bird and Craig Hodges as the only competitors to win three times. In his way are some of the league's best long-range shooters. Let's take a look at some of my favorite picks.
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2025 NBA 3-Point Contest Picks & Predictions
(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)
Tyler Herro (+700)
Tyler Herro has been delighting NBA fans with his long-range prowess since the bubble in 2020. He'll be competing for the second time in this competition after finishing with a score of 18 in his first round at Salt Lake City in 2023. He has a great chance of eclipsing that total and even taking the whole thing on Saturday.
Herro's 186 three-pointers made is the most by any participant coming into the weekend. His 38.5% is near the middle of the group. Taking a deeper dive into the location-specific stats gives us a different story. He's been lethal from the corners this year, shooting 45%. That is key to getting your round off to a good start as well as finishing strong. In addition, Herro has 97 three-pointers made without a dribble this season, making at just under 40% efficiency. Herro is one of the best shooters in this field and is highly underrated at this number.
Darius Garland (+600)
It's been a phenomenal season for Cleveland as they head into the break with the best record in the Eastern Conference. One big reason for this is the play of Darius Garland. He's turned himself into one of the best sharpshooters in the league. Garland's 43.1% from deep is the best mark of any shooter in the field and his 156 three-pointers made trails only Tyler Herro. His pull-up 3P% is 41.2%, which is one of the best marks in the league and indicative of the style of shooting in this competition.
Analyzing the shot chart of Garland is intriguing. He is an excellent corner shooter and has made 25 on the year, but his 3P% away from the corners is 44%. Over 60% of the shots in this competition will be above the break, and that is where Garland excels. He's priced below Damian Lillard and you understand that the two-time champ deserves respect, even from sportsbooks. However, Garland should be the favorite in this competition. He's a great value pick at this price.
Cameron Johnson (+750)
You're forgiven if you haven't seen much of Cameron Johnson this year. The Nets have toiled toward the bottom of the Eastern Conference. In return, Johnson has very quietly put together another phenomenal long-range shooting season. At 41.3% from deep, he's put together one of the best resumes in this year's field.
Not one of his competitors can boast a better corner 3P%. His 46.9% efficiency while canning 30 total will mean he's going to be very comfortable at both the start and end of his round. Additionally, he's been really good above the break, shooting just under 40%. He has also been a pull-up sniper, trailing only Darius Garland in shooting efficiency in such attempts. At the second-longest odds in the competition, it's worth throwing a wager on Cameron Johnson.