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NBA Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saturday (3/11)

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For the season, my NBA Best Bets have gone 35-19-1 ATS. Let’s check out my favorites for Saturday.

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Saturday:

Saturday’s Best NBA Bets

All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Los Angeles Clippers vs. New York Knicks

This line was initially set at Clippers -5 (-110) / -4.5 (-115), but quickly reacted to the news that G Jalen Brunson would miss the game, shifting a point or so towards Los Angeles. And, while Brunson’s absence is significant (the Knicks highest rated player per 538), the Knicks have the depth necessary to make up for it– Namely, backup PG Immanuel Quickley.

Quickley has thrived in his role off the bench (and may very well win Sixth Man of the Year), but has also exhibited excellence when thrust into a starting role. Look no further than this past Sunday, as Quickly’s prolific performance vaulted the Knicks past Boston in Double-OT. Quickley’s presence on the floor should temper the absence of Brunson, as none of Los Angeles’ guards are above average defenders– perhaps the market has overreacted to Brunson being out.

Further, I’m not so convinced that Los Angeles has found their footing. They’ve won two in a row, but gave their best effort to blow the game vs Memphis, and a home win vs the Raptors is not so impressive. The team still exhibits streaks of poor play, and rate 23rd in the NBA in Pts/Poss since the All-Star Break (Knicks rate 3rd, for context).

Bet: Knicks +5 (-110)

Charlotte Hornets vs. Utah Jazz

It has now been nine consecutive games that the Hornets have gone Under the point total, and we’ll continue to bet that they fall short of the point total until proven otherwise.

Charlotte has played five consecutive games without G LaMelo Ball (ankle)– in his absence, they’ve gone Under by an average of 18.6 ppg, and rate dead last in Offensive Pts/Poss. Further, Charlotte’s has picked it up significantly on the defensive end, grading out as the NBA’s no.1 defense over this span. For greater context, the Hornets rate 24th in Adjusted Defensive Rating on the season, and such an improvement has been crucial to Charlotte’s current streak.

As for Utah, they may once again be absent G Jordan Clarkson, and remain without G Collin Sexton. Aside from Lauri Markkanen, these two are their most crucial offensive playmakers, and both rate poorly on defense. The Jazz have tended Over this season (36-29-2 on the year, 22-11-1 on the road), but without these two such numbers can be thrown out the window.

Bet: Under 231 (-110)

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