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NBA Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saturday (2/11)

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Here are two of my favorite bets for Saturday’s NBA slate.

And here are our other top picks for Saturday:

Get ready for the big game with our Super Bowl LVII Betting Guide >>

Today’s Best NBA Bets

For the season, my NBA best bets have gone 26-15 ATS

Philadelphia 76ers @ Brooklyn Nets

This has the potential to be one of the ‘best bets’ of the season but still holds as a good play even if the news weren’t to break our way.

The 76ers visit Brooklyn a day after a contentious, gritty come-from-behind win over the Knicks— a contest in which Embiid, Harden, Maxey, and Tobias Harris each played 30+ minutes. There’s serious rest potential for Philly on the road/ tail-end of this back-to-back, especially so considering C Joel Embiid has been nursing a lingering foot injury. If the Sixers do choose rest on Saturday night, the Nets will be considerable favorites on their home floor.

If not, this is still a decent bet. Don’t be so quick to fade the Nets amid the trades of Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant. The market has overreacted to these trades, unfairly shorting the Nets in their aftermath. While the absence of both of these players stings– it doesn’t so much immediately. Durant had been sidelined for some time, and Irving’s departure is more than made up for by the Nets’ acquisition of Spencer Dinwiddie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Cam Johnson, and Mikal Bridges. The Nets, as presently constructed, are better than they were a week ago– and are a sneaky bet to cover spreads as oddsmakers catch up.

Bet: Nets +3 (-110)

Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards

Don’t hate me– but this is a great game to bet on. The Pacers limp into Washington on the tail-end of a back-to-back and in the wake of an embarrassing home loss (and a favorite) to the Suns. Again, there’s a chance that the Pacers rest some of their best players– namely, G Tyrese Haliburton, as he continues his return from a knee injury– and even if rest isn’t in the cards, this line short-sells the Wizards’ current talent.

Washington will be without F Kyle Kuzma (injury report here), but that’s not that big of a deal. The Wiz’ projected starters still rate very highly and shouldn’t have an issue thwarting the tired Pacers. The duo of Beal and Porzingas (and the rest of Washington’s players) has sneakily been league-average. Further, Kuzma’s presence (or absence) doesn’t really alter the Wizards’ prospects– but the game lines tends to overcompensate for his availability.

Washington is a really fair bet against a tired Pacers team, and this line has the potential to shift value in our direction. Take the Wizards. My gut/ the numbers has it WSH -6.

Bet: Wizards -4 (-110)

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