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NBA Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saturday (2/25)

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The NBA season is in full swing, and fans and bettors alike are eagerly watching every game, hoping to cash in on the action. With so many games taking place each day, it can be tough to know which bets are the best to make. From the point spread to the over/under, there are plenty of options to choose from, each with its own risks and rewards. In this article, we’ll take a closer look at some of the best NBA sports betting bets for the day, analyzing each game and providing expert insight to help you make the most informed decisions possible. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting started, read on to learn more about the top NBA sports betting bets for today’s games.

And here are our other top picks for Saturday:

View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

Saturday’s Best NBA Bets

For the season, my NBA best bets have gone 29-17-1 ATS

Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies

Sometimes you stare at a number and know that it’s off. This total is way too high. Memphis is 7-3 to the Under over their last ten games played, and the data tells the story why: over these same ten games, the Grizzlies have been a pedestrian team, ranking 14th in overall Net Rating, and a stunning 24th offensively. For context, the Grizz are the no. 17 rated offense on the season, and such a decline is the reason why they’ve been such a good under bet of late.

Further, don’t expect their offensive woes to be remedied vs. this Denver team. The Nuggets had a rough start to the season defensively, but have been one of the leagues better units since the new year, and rate 9th defensively over the last ten. Additionally, and empirically, the Memphis offense struggles in these two teams’ lone meeting this season. There were no injuries worth noting in this previous matchup, and the total steamed under 235.

Lastly, neither team trends over on the year. And, for those who love trends (we all do), the Grizzlies are 7-2 to the under at home when the number is set at 234 and above.

Bet: Under 234 (-110)

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers

The Celtics may be the NBA’s best team, but they’ve got some blemishes to their resume when playing on the road this year. The C’s have road losses to the Bulls (twice), OKC (without SGA), Orlando, and nearly dropped their most recent match vs the Pacers. In addition, no team has been a good bet on the road this season– Boston paces the league with a 19-10 SU record on the road (as they should), but only eight teams in the NBA have a winning record away from home. Further, there are also only eight teams who have been profitable bets on the road, and Boston is not one of them. Generally, it has been silly to bet on road teams this year, and it’s a tough sell to back any road favorite.

As to Philly: It’s not egregious that Boston is favored over them, but it’s disrespectful. The 76ers are coming off of one of their (if not the) most impressive victories of the season over Memphis, and boast the NBA’s best record (18-5) since January. Over this same stretch, they have carded home victories over the likes of Denver, LAC, and the aforementioned Grizzlies– perhaps three of the eight(ish) best teams in the NBA. In considering 76ers’ home résumé, and the general struggles teams have had on the road this season, it’s baffling that bookmakers opened this game with Boston favored.

Philly has lost both of their previous meetings with the Celtics, but neither game was so convincing, and Boston was favored by a similar amount in each of these contests. The oddsmakers aren’t giving Philly enough credit, nor are they weighing their home-court advantage adequately into this line. Bet the 76ers to cover the short spread.

Bet: 76ers +2 (-114)

Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategies - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.

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