Navigate

NBA Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (1/22)

by |

Sunday's NBA schedule features seven games. There are some intriguing matchups to review. Let's take a look at some of my favorite bets from the slate. Each pick will risk to win one unit. 

Current Sunday best bet picks on the season are 16-14-2 for +0.2 units.

Check out our other best bets for Sunday:

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

View 5 star bets and historical prop performance by player with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

Today’s Best NBA Bets

Let's dive into a pair of games we like on Thursday and the best bet for each.

Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks

Coming into the season this was a game circled on the schedule as a premier matchup. Things have not gone as well as either of these teams would have hoped. The Clippers have struggled to stay healthy and keep their stars on the floor. This has led to a .500 record so far. In Sunday's game, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are both expected to play and that is likely why we're seeing the line where it is currently.

The Clippers’ offense has been putrid. They rank 29th in offensive efficiency, of course, this includes many games without Leonard and George, but it shows there isn't much going on beyond them. They are capable of getting hot from three, with the sixth-best e3P% in the league but Dallas allows the ninth-lowest 3pt rate. If they can't get threes up, it's hard to make them.

Dallas and Luka love to show up in these big games at home as well. Dallas is 17-7 overall at home and with a low spread like this, I am comfortable enough to lay the 1.5 and take Dallas on Sunday afternoon.

Pick: 1.1u on Mavericks -1.5 (-110)

New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors

The Knicks travel to Toronto for a divisional matchup. This is a tough one for Toronto who struggles to shoot in the midrange and from three. Overall they have the dead-last-ranked eFG% in the league. The Knicks allow the fourth lowest eFG% in the league so a poor shooting team like the Raptors will find it even harder to score than they usually do.

To go with a poor shooting profile, they allow a near league-worst eFG% on the defensive end. The Knicks are a team I go to a lot on these Sunday picks so I've touched often on how they aren't exactly the best shooting team, but they rebound as well as almost any team in the league, especially on the offensive end. It just so happens defensive rebounding is something that Toronto doesn't do particularly well, 17th best DReb rate in the league.

One interesting trend that points to New York is their impeccable 16-7 ATS record on the road. In the other three matchups this year, the road team has both won and covered. In all three matchups, the winner was also the underdog. I'm going to follow these trends and take the Knicks on Sunday.

Pick: 1.1u on Knicks +1 (-110)

Brooklyn Nets at Golden State Warriors

The Warriors are back home on Sunday after a five-game Eastern Conference road trip where they've looked like the championship team they were in 2022. They look to be fully healthy for this matchup with a Nets team that is still missing a key piece in Kevin Durant. On Thursday, the Warriors showed exactly what they're capable of with this lineup in an overtime loss at Boston. I like them to keep this momentum rolling and cover.

This Warrior team still has the DNA of past teams. A top-five shooting team, the league’s best assist rate, and a top-two three-point rate. Although they've had some rough outings on the road, they've looked like the same Warriors at home all year where they've been 14-8 ATS and 17-5 straight up.

The Nets have struggled mightily with Kevin Durant out of the lineup. They've been 1-4 straight up and 1-4 ATS, failing to cover by 11 points per game. A big reason for this is they've struggled to find offense with Durant out. The Nets have managed just 105.4 points per game in his absence, scoring 114.6 prior to the injury.

The Nets’ struggles without Durant mixed with Golden State looking like the juggernaut we're used to when playing at home makes this play stick out to me. I'm going to trust perhaps the most talented team in the league to cover this game on Sunday night.

Pick: 1.1u on Warriors -7 (-110)

Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>


Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App