NBA Betting Systems Picks & Predictions: Friday (12/13)
We haven’t had a slate of eight or more games this week. However, tonight we do.
With eight games in action, I looked at some of the most profitable systems our NBA betting systems have to offer. Here are three bets you’ll want to consider placing tonight.
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NBA Betting System Plays For Friday
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
3PT – 50%
The “3PT – 50%†system has earned a 31.8% return on investment (ROI) over its last 4,090 bets. It’s hit 73.3% of the time and has earned 1,300 units over the last year.
Ultimately, this system looks for players to go over with their three-point prop. The player must have a cost between -250 to +700 and have hit the over in at least three of the last five games and five of the previous 10 games.
Dorian Finney-Smith of the Nets has added at least two three-pointers in 63% of his games this season. He’s also taking on a Memphis defense ranked 25th in threes allowed to power forwards this season. Ultimately, Finney-Smith has nailed at least two threes in eight of his last 10 games. Let’s ride with him to nail at least two tonight.
Pick: Dorian Finney-Smith Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-154)
Points Under v1
Our second system play is from the “Points Under v1†system. This system has earned a 14.9% ROI over its last 3,910 bets. It also has a winning percentage of 61.4%.
The system inputs look for a player to go under in the points market. Each player must have gone over their points prop total in no more than two of the last five, six of the previous 15 and eight of the previous 20 games.
D’Angelo Russell’s points prop is currently 17.5. He’s added at least 18 points in only 17% of games this season. Against the Timberwolves, Russell has also scored at least 18 points in only 13% of his games over the last few years.
Meanwhile, Minnesota ranks seventh in the NBA in points allowed to point guards. Even with LeBron James out, I’ll take Russell to go under.
Pick: D’Angelo Russell Under 17.5 Points (-120)
NBA Hot Streak Assists 25-75%
You’ll also want to check out the “NBA Hot Streak Assists 25-75%†system. This system has an ROI of 51.5% and has added 347.40 units of profit over the last 675 bets.
This system looks for overs in the assists category. A player must have a cost between -500 to +500 and hit this prop between 25% and 75% of the time.
Additionally, the player has to have hit their assist props in five of their last five games.
Alperen Sengun has added at least five assists in eight straight games. He’ll take on a Thunder defense that has allowed 5.02 assists per game to centers this season. That ranks 29th in the NBA against centers.
Ride with Sengun to add at least five assists tonight.
Pick: Alperen Sengun Over 4.5 Assists (-148)