NBA Betting Systems Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (11/19)
It’s Day 3 of the NBA Cup group play stage. That should add some excitement to tonight’s NBA slate.
I reviewed many NBA betting systems and found several long-term profitable bets. Here are the three I’ll be using tonight.
Find and tail the most profitable bets using our NBA Betting Systems.
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NBA Betting System Plays For Tuesday
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
PtsOverNonBlowout
This first system, “PtsOverNonBlowout,†has added a 13.8% return on investment (ROI) on 1,738 bets over the last year. It’s also won nearly 61% of the time and has earned a profit of 239.23 units.
This system looks for players to score over on their points prop. However, the player needs to be in a game where the spread is between -10.5 to +10.5. In addition, the player must have hit the over in 52% of games and added the over in three of the last five, six of the last 10, eight of the last 15 and 13 of the last 20 games.
Jrue Holiday fits the script. Holiday has added at least 13 points in 62% of games this season. He’s also added at least 13 points in seven of his last 10 games. In addition, he’s facing a Cleveland defense ranked dead last in points allowed to point guards this season.
Let’s ride with Jrue Holiday Over 11.5 points.
Pick: Jrue Holiday Over 11.5 Points (-130)
Pts Under Proven Record
The next system, “Pts Under Proven Record,†looks for players to go under on their points prop. It looks for the line to be between 14.5 to 31.5 and for players who have hit the over in fewer than 50%. In addition, the player can’t hit the over in more than two of the last five, four of the last 20, six of the last 15 and eight of the last 20 games.
This system has added a 12.4% ROI over the last year and has earned more than 221 units of profit.
Trey Murphy is the play using this system. Murphy has added at least 17 points in only 33% of games this year. He’s also facing a Dallas defense ranked eighth in the NBA in limiting small forwards. Beyond that, Murphy has scored at least 17 points in just 13% of games against Dallas dating back to the last couple of years.
Pick: Trey Murphy Under 16.5 Points (-120)
Made 3Pointers Unders
The last system is “Made 3Pointers Unders,†and it’s added a 7% ROI over the last year on 3,308 bets. This system has won more than 60% of the time and has earned 231.14 units of profit since November 19, 2023.
Essentially, this system looks for players to go under on threes at -200 to +200. Beyond that, the system criteria need the player to hit the three-made prop fewer than 33% of the time. No player can hit their prop in more than two of the last five, four of the last 10, six of the last 15 and eight of the last 20 games.
Dennis Schroder is a solid look. He has hit three or more three-pointers in only 30% of his last 10 games. Charlotte also ranks 16th in the NBA in limiting point guards from hitting threes. If Schroder keeps his average, he’ll get hit the under on his three-pointers made line.
Pick: Dennis Schroder Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-148)