NBA Betting Systems Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (12/10)
The NBA Cup quarterfinals are set to begin tonight! We’ll have a doubleheader of matchups exclusively on TNT. The first matchup will be between the Orlando Magic and Milwaukee Bucks, and the second game will be between the Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder.
With that said, I’ve looked through some of the NBA betting systems and found three profitable bets you’ll want to consider for tonight.
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NBA Betting System Plays For Tuesday
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
New Under Points
The “New under points†system has added a 12.4% ROI over the last 5,586 bets. It won 60% of the time and reached 692.7 units of profit over the last year.
The system input indicates a player must hit their points prop in less than 69% of games and have also hit the over in no more than six games over the last 15.
Wendell Carter Jr.’s points stick out in total. He’s hit at least 11 points in only 31% of games this season. He’s also facing a Bucks defense that ranks second in the NBA in points allowed to centers. Carter doesn’t have a good matchup tonight.
Pick: Wendell Carter Jr. Under 10.5 Points (-128)
3PM Under Test v2
This next system has earned a 10.8% ROI on 4,745 bets. It’s won nearly 65% of the time and has earned a profit of nearly 514 units.
Ultimately, this system looks for players to go Under their three-point prop. A player must hit their three prop in no more than four of the last ten and six of the last 15.
I’m eying Giannis Antetokounmpo to go Under. He fits the description after hitting at least one three in only 14% of games this season. Additionally, he’s facing an Orlando defense that ranks 6th in holding power forwards from hitting threes. Giannis could still score plenty around the rim. Just don’t expect him to hit one from downtown.
Even at -370, there’s value with this bet.
Pick: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under .5 Threes (-370)
PTSOVR
This last system, “ptsover,†looks at players to go over their total points. That player must have a cost of -150 to +500 and hit their season average at least 50% of the time. In addition, a player must be on a streak with their points prop. The player has to have hit the over in three of the last five, six of the last ten, and 12 of the last 20.
Kyrie Irving is one of the best scorers in the NBA. Yet, his points total is set at 21.5. He’s hit this line in 59% of games this season, and he will likely nail at least 22 points in tonight’s game since it’s an NBA Cup matchup.
Irving has hit this line in two consecutive games heading into tonight. He’s had success even with Luka Doncic back in the lineup. That counts for something!
Pick: Kyrie Irving Over 21.5 Points (-125)