NBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (11/6)
After no games yesterday, we’re back with a monster slate tonight in the NBA. I’ve added two bets to the betting portfolio, which I’ll share below.
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Wednesday's Best NBA Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
The Los Angeles Lakers have been a top-ten offense to begin the season. They have scored 116.1 points per 100 possessions and have reached the foul line at the highest rate in the NBA this season.
On the other hand, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed a 21.5 free throw rate defensively and don’t rank better than 14 in any major defensive category.
Meanwhile, Memphis has shot an effective field goal percentage of 55.2%. They’ve dealt with many injuries, including Marcus Smart, who won’t play in tonight’s game. Still, the offense has scored 116.7 points per 100 possessions and should get a lot of good looks against this Lakers defense that has allowed 117.4 points per 100 possessions.
With Memphis shooting a high field goal percentage and the Lakers getting to the foul line at a high rate, I’ll gladly back the Over 230 (-102) in this game.
Pick: Over 230 (-102)
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Joel Embiid has not played a minute for the Philadelphia 76ers this season, and Paul George only played in one game on Monday.
It’s one reason the 76ers are 1-5 to begin the year. The 76ers spoke about resting their starters in time for the playoffs, but with a 1-5 record, the playoffs aren’t looking like such a lock.
The Philadelphia plan isn’t really working.
That said, it looks like Paul George will at least play tonight. He went 4-for-14 and scored 15 points in 32 minutes against the Suns in a two-point loss. George was 1-for-7 from three and added six turnovers with just four assists in the loss. It wasn’t the most encouraging performance.
Philadelphia has scored 108.6 points per 100 possessions, which is 26th in the NBA. The 76ers have also shot a 49.5% effective field goal percentage, 27th in the NBA. They’ll get to the foul line consistently but also miss many shots and lack on the offensive glass.
The Clippers should ultimately add more second chances. Los Angeles has added 29.8% of offensive rebounds, while the 76ers have allowed 30.9% of offensive rebounds. In addition, the Clippers don’t get to the foul line a lot, but the 76ers are fouling at a very high rate. There’s a chance Los Angeles will earn more foul shots in this game.
The Clippers will need to limit turnovers. That’s the key. If they can do that, they will win rather easily at home.
Pick: Clippers -2 (-108)