NBA Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Friday (4/12)
Welcome to an absolutely loaded 15-game Friday NBA slate!
As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is to stay on top of the news. It will be a weird day with a lot of questionable tags out there, and some players will be resting. The second best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so make sure you're getting the best value.
What a time to be alive! Let's get into it and find some winners for Friday, April 12.
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Friday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 2-0 | Season: 122-93
Jalen Brunson Under 42.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-112 via BetRivers)
When in doubt, trust the BettingPros projections. The Prop Bet Cheat Sheet is a tool I cannot emphasize enough, as it has been my best money maker all season. I highly recommend using it for all your betting needs. The Sheet has Jalen Brunson around 36.5 for this combo prop, and for good reason.
New York has clinched a playoff birth with Brooklyn already eliminated, so generally, I expect this to be a down game across the board. The Nets are the slowest-paced team in the NBA, with the Knicks not far ahead of them. Brunson has been incredible of late. I have to give him that, scoring 35-plus points in each of his last five games. Still, that isn't sustainable. He's averaged 28 all season and I expect his scoring to regress. This seems like the optimal spot for just that.
Scotty Pippen Jr. Under 22.5 Pts + Ast (-105 via ESPN BET)
You'll notice a trend with these games: I will take a lot of unders. It's a long season, and a lot of these teams and players are just trying to get to the finish line. The Memphis guard is coming off an 18-point outing, boosting this prop, but he's only averaged around 13 points a game with four assists in the last two weeks. That number is higher than his seasonal averages. Scotty Pippen Jr. is seeing increased usage and playing time, but I'm still hesitant to trust that he can be an effective scorer, especially as a 15-point underdog.
Gary Trent Jr. Under 18.5 Pts + Reb (-115 via DraftKings)
Miami is one of the few teams with something left to play for still in terms of seeding, and Gary Trent Jr. is already dealing with a knee issue. This prop obviously expects him to play, but Miami will bring down the pace against Toronto in a big way, so the pure level of opportunity will be diminished. The Raptors guard has only averaged 14 points a game all year with a pair of boards, so considering how we would expect him to go under his averages, this line is a little surprising. Miami's defense is second in the league over their last 15 games, so they will come to play. I'm happy to take all the unders for Toronto today.
Featured Betting System
De’Aaron Fox Over 4.5 Rebounds (-145 via DraftKings)
We’ve got another featured prop today courtesy of our new Betting Systems tool, available in the iOS and Android versions of the free BettingPros mobile app. Fox’s cashed this prop in 11 of his last 15 home games, in addition to posting 5-or-more boards in three straight games. In his last game against the Suns, the former Kentucky Wildcat rushed this line with 9 rebounds. Let’s tail this winning System and our Prop bet Cheat Sheet projection tonight.
Additional NBA Betting Advice
Otherwise, there are a lot of questionable tags out there with rest and lingering injuries, so many props aren't available as of this writing. Some advice would be to have notifications on for lineup news, whichever way you get it. Teams like the Bulls and Bucks are prime candidates to rest some of their starters, which means value in the overs for many of their backups. Be quick and you can get some incredible value.
Other Bets on My Card:
- Evan Mobley Over 15.5 Points (-109 via Caesars)
- Tyrese Haliburton Over 9.5 Assists (-108 via Caesars)
- CJ McCollum Under 25.5 Points (-105 via DraftKings)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:
- NHL Prop Betting Cheat Sheet
- Top NBA Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Top MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions
- UFC 300 Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Premier League Matchday 33 Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Masters Odds & Picks: Head-To-Head Matchups (Round 2)
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.