NBA Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (11/11)
As we head into the weekend, let’s make some money on some NBA player props. Here are my three favorite player props from today’s games.
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All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
View 5 star bets and historical prop performance by player with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>
Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 22.5 points (-105)
After a sluggish 5-7 start, the Timberwolves take on Ja Morant and the Grizzlies in what should be a get-right game, at least offensively.
The Grizzlies’ defense ranks 23rd in the NBA in a game that should have a lot of possessions with these two teams’ pace of play. Steven Adams is still coming off a bum ankle, and I can’t imagine the combination of him and Santi Aldama will be able to stop both Towns and Gobert.
I like the Timberwolves outright in this game and expect Towns to lead the charge with a lot of points.
Devin Vassell OVER 3.5 rebounds (-170)
This prop might change depending on the status of Giannis, but as it currently stands, Vassell’s rebounding prop is one of the better values on the slate. BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet gives this an 83 percent chance of covering with a 39 percent expected value.
Vassell has been on a tear of late and consistently plays well, averaging 21 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 4.3 assists a game. But the books still haven’t caught up when placing his props. While they see him hitting the over as a heavy favorite, I expected this number to be at 4.5 or even 5.5.
While Milwaukee is a solid rebounding team, it is completely different if Giannis is limited or not on the floor. Generally speaking, I like most of Vassell’s props going over tonight, but especially his rebounding.
De’Aaron Fox OVER 5.5 assists (-115)
With the Lakers and the Kings both repping the pace of plays in the top half of the NBA, there should be a lot of back-and-forth in this one and a lot of scoring.
The Lakers’ defensive woes have been prominent, ranking in the league’s bottom half. Pair that with Sacramento’s fifth-ranked assist ratio, and this becomes a situation primed for Fox to succeed.
Life’s too short to bet under player props, right? Remember to make a wish at 11:11 today, too, for some good betting luck.
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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.