NBA Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Thursday (4/4)

Welcome to a five-game Thursday slate! I always love this level of slate because it is a perfect level of value without over-saturation. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms so make sure you're getting the best value. What a wonderful time of year as playoff races are really heating up. Let's get into it and find some winners heading into the weekend. 

Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be a single unit. 

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Wednesday's Best NBA Player Props

Last Time: 2-2 | Season: 116-89

Dejounte Murray Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+134 on FanDuel)

Sometimes you have to go with the value and I love plus props – this is one. Dallas might be a pace-up spot but plays solid defense against guards, limiting them in the scoring category. He is projected to go under this prop with a 60 percent chance so I can ride with that value. On the road, it's always easier to swallow the Under on perimeter props, especially considering six of his last seven games have been at home. On the road after averaging under three threes a game, against the fourth-best defense over the last 10 games, let's ride this Under.  


Josh Hart Under 28.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-110 on BetMGM)

Hart is already questionable for tonight so this is only applicable if he plays of course. He only scored two points last game and has averaged under nine a game on the season with eight boards to go with four assists. He's projected around 24.5 which offers great value. Any team will be a pace-up spot for New York, but the Kings are still middle of the pack. They own an average defense that's played better of late with a top-10-ranked rebounding rate. Unders aren't exactly fun but it is the right play, in my mind, here for Hart.  


Duncan Robinson Over 15.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-122 on FanDuel)

One of my favorite bets of today is Miami going over their totals and leading the charge will be none other than Duncan Robinson. The Miami shooting guard is back and considering he's averaged 13 points a game alone, it's easy to see him get his footing back and bounce back in a big way after multiple six-point efforts. My biggest draw for this prop is how Philadelphia has three of their current projected starting five questionable for tonight. Playing at home against a limited 76ers team is a recipe for a big outing from Robinson, in one way or another.


Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:

Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.

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