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NBA Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (4/16)

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The NBA postseason begins tonight with two Western Conference Play-In games. Will Harrison Barnes continue to shoot lights out when his Sacramento Kings face the Golden State Warriors? How will Austin Reaves and Taurean Prince fare when the Los Angeles Lakers take on the New Orleans Pelicans?

Here are the three best NBA player props for Tuesday, April 16.

Record This Season: 51-67 (-18.86 units)

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Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets

Harrison Barnes Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-120)

Harrison Barnes averaged just 1.8 made three-pointers per game this season, but he's been great against the Warriors. In their first meeting, he made only one three-pointer. In their subsequent meetings, he made four, two and seven. He shot at least 40% from deep in every game against the Warriors this season.

He enters the postseason in a bit of a slump. He averaged just 1.1 made three-pointers per game in April. He hasn't made more than two shots from deep in a game since March 31st. But this is a matchup Barnes has been able to exploit this season. The Warriors allow the 10th-most points off three-pointers in the league. Expect Barnes to put up plenty of shots and easily hit two in this game. 

Austin Reaves Over 4.5 Assists (+102)

Austin Reaves averaged 5.5 assists per game during the regular season. However, his assist totals against the Pelicans were very up and down. In Sunday's win over them, he managed just two assists. In the meeting before that, he had only four. He did manage a combined 16 assists in their first two meetings but it seems oddsmakers aren't putting much value in those performances.

Though Reaves could struggle, getting this a full assist below his season average for greater than +100 is way too good to pass up. Reaves has just three assists in his last two games but he also dished out six in three of his seven games in April. The Pelicans allow 26.8 assists per game, 17th in the league. Reaves will get at least five tonight.

Taurean Prince Over 5.5 Points (-110)

Taurean Prince averaged 8.9 points per game in the regular season. That total made him the sixth-leading scorer on the Lakers. Since February, Prince has had just one game where he failed to score. That's great for a player who isn't relied upon by his team for the majority of the scoring.

With this in mind, you can put Prince's floor at two points tonight. Look at how he's played against the Pelicans this season. He has two 15-point games and he scored nine in Sunday's regular-season finale. Getting this number 3.4 points below Prince's season average when the matchup favors him feels like a mistake by oddsmakers.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.

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