NBA Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (2/26)
Welcome to another day of basketball as we are deep into the NBA season with the All-Star break behind us. If you're joining us for the first time, welcome. It's been a great year, and I hope we continue that trend as we look to the playoffs.
We have a nine-game slate tonight, so we have plenty of options for player props. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 2-1 | Season: 105-80
Domantas Sabonis Over 23.5 Points + Assists (-122 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Not to sound dramatic… but this could be my favorite bet of the entire season. The Utah Jazz have allowed opposing centers to record the third-most combined points + assists. They have consistently ranked last in the league in defensive efficiency while still ranking in the top 10 in offensive pace.
To add insult to injury, Walker Kessler is questionable with an illness. Sacramento is a near-double-digit favorite. With the total around 236, there is going to be a lot of scoring tonight. After two off games since coming back from the All-Star break, Domantas Sabonis' props are simply too low. He's not only due for a bounce-back game but he also faces one of the best teams to do so against. Throw a pair of units on this bet because I absolutely love it.
Trae Young Under 26.5 Points (-108 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
After three straight 38-point efforts, someone who's due for negative regression is Trae Young. We saw that a bit on Monday against Miami with an 11-point outing. I expect him to continue to go under his scoring prop. The Heat have allowed the fourth-fewest points a game to opposing point guards. Even against the best, they've done a great job limiting high-scoring efforts.
The Hawks have been the second-fastest-paced team in the league while Miami ranks third-last. This is a pace-down spot against a top defense that won't allow Young to go off. I'd project him closer to 23 points - there's a lot of value to the under without much juice. Feel free to bet some alts here.
Jerami Grant Over 17.5 Points + Assists (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Throw a dart at a Portland player and pick their total over - it's probably a good call. My pick is Jerami Grant. For some reason, Grant's number is only set at 17.5 here despite facing the Wizards. Washington has been the fourth-fastest-paced team in the league with the second-worst defense to go with it. They've also allowed the sixth-most points to opposing power forwards and the second-most assists.
Grant has averaged 14 points and nearly three assists a game, so the fact that it's even odds for an average performance by Grant against Washington is a remarkable value. The BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet projects Grant closer to 32 points + assists. The cheat sheet is the best resource out there for betting and is a big reason why I've had such a great season. Follow the sheet and take this bet.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.