NBA Player Prop Bets, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (12/11)
Welcome to a two-game NBA slate on this hump day as we roll closer to the New Year. It's been a great season so far and I hope we continue that trend tonight with a pair of matchups as the NBA Cup continues into the quarter-finals.
As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second-best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so make sure you're getting the best value. Let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 2-1 | Season: 56-34
Karl-Anthony Towns Under 12.5 Rebounds (-100 on ESPN Bet)
It may be a big pace-up spot here for Karl-Anthony Towns and Co. but this line has grown inflated with his recent performances on the board. Over the last two weeks, Towns is averaging three more rebounds a game than his seasonal performance and he projects closer to 11 on the BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet. The Sheet is a mecca for all your sports betting needs and is easily one of the best tools in the business.
The Hawks’ offense has been a lot more efficient of late and it's not as if Towns will have many opportunities for offensive boards, given how the Knicks rank as the most efficient offense and play at such a slow pace. He's also dealing with a right knee injury, so there's the potential for limited minutes, especially if the game isn't close. The Knicks’ big man is due for regression as he hasn't averaged above double-digit boards in any of the last three seasons. Of course, this is a much different situation but I'm willing to fade it tonight.
Buddy Hield Over 15.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-105 on ESPN Bet)
Being thrown into the starting role over two of his last three games, and expected to be a starter tonight, Buddy Hield has seen an increase in minutes over the last week or so. He's already averaging 14.5 points a game with 3.5 boards and 1.5 assists per game this season, so I'm a bit surprised by this line.
Yes, Golden State is facing a stout Houston defense but the Rockets still play faster than average and the Oklahoma product is projected for over 18 for this combo prop. It would be surprising to see him not reach this because there are so many avenues he can get there. He's projected for more minutes and higher usage, so even if that stays closer to his seasonal averages, he should still easily make this line. Considering this line is near even odds, this is one of my favorite plays so far this month.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.