Welcome to another day of basketball as we are deep into the NBA season with the All-Star break right around the corner. If you're just joining us for the first time, welcome. It's been a great year, and I hope we continue that trend as we get closer and closer to nicer weather. We have a 15-game slate tonight, which means we have plenty of selections for betting on props.
There are some questionable tags out there with more probably popping up closer to game times. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
Let's get to it. Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 0-1 | Season: 96-74
Luka Doncic Over 31.5 Points + Assists (-120 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
It's only a matter of time before Luka Doncic begins blossoming in L.A., and I think tonight might be one of the first games we see what he's capable of in the gold and purple.
Doncic didn't have a great debut against Utah but the chance to run it back only gives me confidence in his ability to bounce back. For those unaware, Utah is bad. They have the third-worst defense with a top-10 pace of play. Also, no other team has allowed more points and assists to opposing point guards than the Utah Jazz.
This is still quite a high number for what Doncic is capable of and I expect him to try for a breakout game in Los Angeles. With a total of around 237, there is plenty of scoring to go around. I expect Doncic to be a big part of that.
Domantas Sabonis Over 25.5 Points + Assists (-110 at BetMGM)
The Sacramento big man is set to dominate tonight. I project Domantas Sabonis closer to 28 on this combo prop. The Pelicans have quickly turned into the team to play for betting opponent props against. In the last 10 games, New Orleans has been the second-fastest-paced team in the league with the worst defense by a city mile.
Now is the perfect time to play them. Additionally, only the Washington Wizards allow more points to opposing centers than the Pelicans. I don't feel like I need much analysis here other than the fact this is one of the easiest matchups you can ask for. Sabonis’ usage has been consistently around 20% and he's been playing 35 minutes a night. He should get to this line without much effort.
Damian Lillard Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120 at ESPN Bet)
After Giannis Antetokounmpo was announced out until the All-Star break, it's taken a bit for the Damian Lillard props to even out across the market. At this point, it's gone too far. His usage has seen an uptick but his minutes have stayed near the same. He also goes up against Minnesota, a top-five defense with the 22nd pace of play.
The Timberwolves have allowed the sixth-fewest points to opposing point guards and the seventh-fewest combined points + rebounds + assists per game to go with it. Lillard gets a dip in production on the road. With the total at 225, it's not like there's high expected scoring across the game. This is a juiced line, but I'm comfortable riding the under.
Additional Bets
- Christian Braun Under 24.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Scottie Barnes Under 29.5 Points + Assists (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Paul George Over 20.5 Points + Assists (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.
