NBA Player Prop Bets, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (3/26)
Welcome to another day of basketball as we are deep into the NBA season with teams jockeying for playoff position or better draft status with around 10 games remaining. If you're joining us for the first time, welcome. It's been a great year, and I hope we continue that trend as we look to the playoffs. We have a six-game slate tonight, so we should have a solid handful of props available.
As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday's Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 3-0 | Season: 127-91
Jordan Poole Over 19.5 Points + Assists (-120 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
It's hard backing the Washington Wizards with their offense. Usually, my go-to is finding the other side of the ball to back. But now I've switched to going against the 76ers, and it has worked out for me. Philadelphia has been abysmal after the All-Star break, ranking last by a country mile in defensive rating in their last 18 games.
Jordan Poole has averaged 19 points a night over the last two months of play. Even though that number has dropped to 17 in recent play, this combined prop line is too low against the 76ers. The pacing will be slowed down, but the 76ers are still middle of the pack in terms of possession rate. Poole should be projected closer to 23 points and assists. Even with the juice, this is a clear value.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 51.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
With Damian Lillard out, all of the props for Milwaukee players are going to increase, including Giannis Antetokounmpo, but this 51.5 line for the combo prop is too much. Antetokounmpo has covered this line in three of his last 15 games and only 32% of games the entire season. He's questionable with a left foot sprain. While he's expected to play, I can't imagine Lillard being out will boost his props as aggressively as it's being priced.
Denver's defense isn't anything to write home about, but they've slowed down their pacing over their last 15 games and rank in the middle of the pack in terms of limiting opposing power forwards. Denver is dealing with injuries itself. I expect Antetokounmpo to overperform, but I am zagging while everyone else zigs and riding the under.
Keon Johnson Under 15.5 Points + Assists (-104 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
The Toronto Raptors have stepped up their game of late and aren't getting enough credit in the betting market. Their defensive rating on the season is 18th. Over the last 10 games, it's been a top-five unit, as it has been since the All-Star break.
Keon Johnson is coming off a week of averaging nearly 13 points a night, but should regress more to 10, while only adding a pair of assists each contest. The Nets are the slowest-paced team in the league, hence the 215 total, and the Raptors aren't fast enough to reason the higher prop. Johnson has covered this line in 30% of games this season and just five out of the last 15 games after being thrust into the starting lineup. I expected this line to be way more juiced, so I'm happy to grab it at near even odds.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.