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NBA Player Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (3/28)

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Welcome to a six-game NBA slate from which I'll provide my favorite props for your liking. It’s been a successful season so far. I'd love to keep it going. 

Last Time: 2-1

Season: 22-24 (+4.2% ROI)

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Tuesday:

View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

NBA Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions

Remember to shop around for the best odds on these props to get the best EV over the long term. Let's get to it.

Tyus Jones Under 8.5 assists 

This may be a -135 odds but I still like the value here for Jones going under his assist total. With Ja Morant out so long, Jones' assists have gone up, averaging 8.0 a game in the last two weeks. But even with that considered, I'm surprised his number is so high for today.

Jones has averaged 5.0 assists per game this season so his 8.0 number will come down soon. Orlando's pace is nothing to write home about and their defense is okay enough to stop this Memphis team from scoring at an incredibly high clip that will get Jones to nine assists.

Jones has gone under nine assists in nine of the last 15 games, and I expect the same tonight. I'm throwing one unit on this prop.

Odds: -135 at DraftKings

Marcus Smart Over 7.5 Reb + Ast 

Playing against Washington, I feel confident in Smart's ability to reach his overs tonight. To start with the rebounding, Boston ranks seventh in rebound rate in the NBA. Porzingis is a solid rebounder but Daniel Gafford is questionable which makes me feel better about Smart's rebound ability.

With Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum off the injury report, Smart is in line for a massive boost in his average assists. Despite that, the books haven't adjusted with Tatum back. Yes, it is minus odds, but I figured the line to be at 8.5 or nine. I'll be putting one unit on this prop.   

Odds: -140 at DraftKings

Kevin Love Over 14.5 Pts + Ast + Reb 

These aren't the most exciting props, but I like all of them in the end, you should find the best odds but it's mostly about being right. 

With Miami, Love has been solid but plays under his seasonal averages. While what he's doing with the Heat can be consistent, scoring shy of eight points a game with six rebounds and two assists. Toronto is a small pace-up spot and the Raptors’ middling defense isn't too scary.

The BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet gives this bet a 76 percent chance of hitting and is projected at closer to 18.4 for this combo prop.

Odds: -125 at Caesars

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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.

 

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