NBA Player Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (11/29)
As the holiday season gets into full swing, there isn't any other better way to celebrate than some consistent winnings from these NBA props. It's been a solid season so far, so let's try to keep the winning ways going. Here are my favorite props for tonight's games.
All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by player with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>
Julius Randle OVER 8.5 rebounds (+100)
It isn't too common to find a player prop at +100, so this is more so taking advantage of the value here.
Detroit is one of the worst rebounding teams in the country, ranked 27th in the league in rebound rate. And while the Pistons will be a pace down for New York, both teams operate at above-average paces, giving Randle plenty of opportunity to grab some boards.
The Kentucky product has been averaging 8.7 boards a game, so I'm honestly surprised this number isn't higher, or the odds closer to -120. Either way, I'm loving this prop tonight, and feel confident about the over hitting here.
Luka Doncic OVER 8.5 assists (+110)
I've said it once and I'll say it again – the Warriors are the go-to team to bet opponents overs against.
While it's more fun to bet Doncic's points over, his assists number is the way to go here. With Golden State's breakneck pace, I won't have to remind you that there will be extra possessions in this game. What Doncic has done recently has become a more solid facilitator. In the last two weeks, he's averaged 9.0 assists a game while averaging 10 assists a game in the last week.
I'm riding the hot wave here and trusting his assists numbers to stay high. The Warriors are the perfect team to bet Doncic's over assists.
Anfernee Simons UNDER 23.5 points (-110)
I know I mention pace a lot but it really can make a difference over a full NBA game. Portland's 28th-ranked pace of play, combined with the Clippers’ 21st-ranked play, means there will simply be fewer opportunities for Simons to score, even if he is doing well.
The Clippers also boast the second-best defensive efficiency in the league. Simons has vastly outperformed his point average total this season, sitting at 23.2 points per game. Of course, he's improved but that number is due for some negative regression.
The BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet identifies this prop as one of the better props on the slate, with his under-point total repping a 22 percent expected value.
Other Props:
Luka Doncic OVER 8.5 rebounds (-130)
Spencer Dinwiddle OVER 4.5 assists (-135)
Jusuf Nurkic OVER 9.5 rebounds (-130)
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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.