NBA Player Props Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (11/10)
After just two games yesterday we are back with a solid nine-game slate. The goldilocks level of games – not too few but not too many. It’s still early in the year but the first handful of games have provided a plethora of data for NBA teams. It’s just enough to get ahead of the books before the markets adjust. Remember, it’s a long season still so don’t go blowing your bankroll. Be aware of injuries and always remember to shop around for the best odds. Here are my favorite prop picks for tonight’s games.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Friday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be a single unit.
Last Time: 1-1
Season: 22-11
LaMelo Ball Over 27.5 Pts (-110, DraftKings)
LaMelo Ball’s points prop continues to rise and I will continue to be the over until proven otherwise.
Ball now has back-to-back games scoring 30-plus points and tonight he runs it back against the Washington Wizards, the over team of the year. If you have watched any games this year, you know what I’m talking about but I’ll provide stats anyways. The Wizards not only own the second worst defensive rating in the league but are by far the fastest paced club.
As I said when I took Ball over 25.5 points – he will have his looks. Despite losing five of their last six games, the Hornet guard seems to be reaching another level in his stardom. If you want to take a combo prop if you aren’t confident in him reaching points alone, he has tallied double-digit assists in two of his last three games if you want to take points and assists.
Luka Doncic Over 37.5 Pts + Ast (-115, DraftKings)
Anytime I can find an excuse to bet on a star, I’m going to take it.
First of all, Doncic is projected at 43.2 for this combo prop from the BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet and dubbed as one of the best bets on tonight’s slate. The Sheet is a perfect resource for all your betting needs and is a big reason why I have done so well in the early days of the NBA season.
While the Clippers are a pace-down spot for the Mavericks and boast a respectful defense. But the books have over-compensated in setting this prop. In five of his eight games this year, Luke has gone over this combo prop. Playing at home only helps and while the Clippers and Westbrook can defend, I am going to put my trust in Doncic everyday of the week.
Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 Pts + Reb (-105, DraftKings)
An early season strategy I have implemented is to take player prop overs when facing the San Antonio Spurs. So far, it’s been working well so let’s run it back.
Anthony Edwards is the player to pick here. San Antonio has struggled against guards, allowing 26-plus points per game to point guards and 24-plus to shooting guards. Combine that with the near eight rebounds allowed a game to shooting guard, second most in the league, and you can see why I like this prop here.
San Antonio is a big pace-up spot for the Timberwolves so Ant will get a plethora of possessions. The Spurs defense has truly struggled this year as well, ranking dead last in the league in efficiency. This is one of the easier prop bets I’ve made all year.
Other Bets:
- Mike Conley Over 10.5 points (-120, DraftKings)
- Kawhi Leonard Over 22.5 points (-120, DraftKings)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:
- NFL Betting Primer: Top Picks & Player Prop Bets for Every Game (Week 10)
- NFL Week 10 Player Prop Bets Odds, Picks & Predictions: Fitz’s Favorites (2023)
- Thor Nystrom’s Best College Football Week 11 Bets (2023)
- NBA First Basket Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Top NBA Odds, Picks, & Predictions
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.