NBA Player Props Bet Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (1/22)
We are in the dog days of summer (winter but you get it) with the NFL season winding down and the NBA garnering more viewership. If you're just joining us for the first time, welcome, it's been a great season, and I hope we continue that trend tonight. We have a solid nine-game slate tonight as we head into the weekend so there are a handful of props I'm loving. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you're getting the best value. Let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be a single unit.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 1-1 | Season: 83-64
Damian Lillard Over 33.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-120 Caesers)
The Washington Wizards and Utah Jazz get dragged (by me) a lot for being awful NBA teams and great when betting on opponent props. But the Pelicans are not far behind on that list. With only 12 wins this year from a lot going wrong, there are not many positive takeaways from their season. But it should be positive for Dame tonight. The Pelicans rank third in defensive efficiency and aren't far behind in terms of pace from the Bucks. Lillard has covered this line in 58 percent of his games and three of his last five. Milwaukee is favored by eight points here and has received a recent bump in minutes over his last seven games. I'd project him closer to 36 on this combo prop and gladly pay for the juiced line.
Tobias Harris Over 22.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-120 DraftKings)
The Hawks only continue to climb when it comes to pace, ranking second in the league, just behind the Memphis Grizzlies. They are also quite friendly to opposing power forwards, allowing the third most PAR to opposing power forwards. If you want to consider Harris, a small forward, that number jumps to the most allowed by Atlanta. So, despite this bumped line, I don't think it's high enough for the former 76er, who is playing 33 minutes a night and averaging just around 22 points, assists, and rebounds on the season, so this prop just isn't as big as it should be where I project him closer to 25 PAR.
Keyonte George Under 21.5 Points + Assists (-120 DraftKings)
This has a chance to be quite the ugly game for Utah as they played on the road as 18-point underdogs against the best-ranked defense in the league. It also isn't great how the lineup is banged up, with Lauri Markkanen and John Collins questionable and Collin Sexton and Walker Kessler being banged up. Usually, it helps to be the only fully healthy projected starter in the lineup, but in this case, I expect it to take away from George against such an elite defensive unit and SGA. It's easygoing with such favored lines, but I still see clear value in all three props tonight.
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our How To Section - including How to Avoid the 7 Biggest Sports Betting Mistakes - or head to a more advanced strategy - like Thinking Like an Expert Sports Bettor - to learn more.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.