NBA PrizePicks Player Predictions: Saturday (11/30)

Although there’s only a five-game slate today, there are some valuable player predictions available on PrizePicks.

Like every NBA PrizePicks article, we’ll give out four player predictions you can use for a four-leg Power Play entry. A two-leg Power Play entry will give you implied odds of -137 for each prediction. A three-leg Power Play entry will give you implied odds of -141. A four-leg NBA PrizePicks Power Play entry will give you implied odds of -128 for each prediction.

Getting -128 on the same prediction is better than -137 or -141. Here are our top NBA PrizePicks player predictions for tonight’s action.

Remember that a Flex play can still win if one pick misses, but you’d get lower payouts.

Malcolm Brogdon More Than 14.5 Points

The Washington Wizards’ point guard is in line for a huge game. Malcolm Brogdon is facing a Milwaukee defense that ranks dead last in points allowed to point guards per game this season.

Point guards have taken nearly 10 shots per game and have hit almost four threes per night. Brogdon has hit at least 15 points in 60% of his last 20 games. He’s an effective scorer when he’s the lead guy. Expect that from him tonight.

Kevin Durant More Than 24.5 Points

Since Kevin Durant returned from injury, he’s had games of 23 and 30 points. Before he was sidelined, Durant added at least 26 points in three straight games.

Ultimately, he’s hit at least 25 points in four of his last five games dating back to November 4.

He’ll compete against a Golden State defense that only ranks 20th in the NBA in points allowed to small forwards. In addition, small forwards have nailed more than three three-pointers per game against the Warriors. The Warriors also rank 21st in the NBA in field goal attempts allowed to small forwards this season.

Durant should go off against his former team.

Jaden Ivey More Than 16.5 Points

Jaden Ivey has gotten some confidence recently. He’s scored at least 17 points in four straight games, including a 23-point performance last time out against Indiana.

Ivey is in an excellent position to score at a high rate tonight, too. He’s facing a Philadelphia defense that has allowed 22.38 points per game to shooting guards this season. That only ranks 18th in the NBA and is below average.

Shooting guards have also added nearly eight field goal attempts per game, which is another below-average number. Let’s give Ivey the benefit of the doubt and grab him to score at least 17 points for the fifth straight game.

Jared McCain Less Than 20.5 Points

Jared McCain has had back-to-back games with no more than 18 points. He’s also gone for less than 20.5 points in four of his last five games.

Tonight, he’ll go up against a Detroit defense that has been terrific against guards. The Pistons have held point guards to 20.19 points per game this season. They’ve also allowed a 37.98% field goal percentage and just 7.72 field goal attempts per game.

I’ll back McCain to go for less than 20.5 points.

Our PrizePicks NBA Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our daily NBA projections. We highlight top NBA props based on advanced metrics such as Cover Probability, Expected Value and historical Over %. This report is updated in real-time to provide the most current odds, projections and NBA prop bet picks.