NBA Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks: Friday (4/4)

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Chicago is 5-2 in their last seven games, including wins against the Lakers and Nuggets. The Bulls are 4-1 against Portland in the previous five matchups, yet fell short in the one meeting between the teams in the 2024-25 campaign. Suffice to say, this is not the same Chicago team that was hitting the court in January.

After losing their previous four games, Portland has picked up wins in back-to-back contests. The Trailblazers are 6-4 over their last 10 games. However, our issue with Portland getting the win tonight is that they simply are not scoring at the same level as Chicago. The Trail Blazers are only averaging 112 points over the last 10 games, and that is not going to cut it against this dog days version of the Bulls.

Chicago is currently averaging 12 more points over their last 10 games compared to their opponents this evening. The Bulls are shooting 49.9% from the field over that span, and 39.4% from beyond the arc.

The Trail Blazers are allowing 115.6 points when playing on the road over their last 10 contests. Opponents are connecting on 46% of their attempts over this span. Portland has allowed at least 124 points in three of its last seven road games.

Oddsmakers must be expecting Donovan Clinga to smash tonight. However, recent form begs to differ. The UConn rookie is averaging 7.8 points and nine boards over the last five games, which is quite a fair margin away from his suggested combined points + rebounds total. In his last 10 road games, Clingan is averaging only 7.5 points and 8.4 rebounds.

The Denver Nuggets are coming off two straight losses, including a double overtime heartbreaker against Minnesota on Tuesday. The Nuggets have not lost three consecutive games since January. We feel Denver will keep that streak alive.

Denver is riding a nine-game win streak against Golden State. In the last meeting between the teams on March 17th, the Nuggets were able to secure a nine-point victory, without the services of Nikola Jokic or Jamal Murray. Murray is questionable for this contest, yet Jokic will be on the floor tonight.

Golden State is receiving a fair amount of grace with such a low spread when you consider the back-to-back aspect. The Warriors battled it out with the Lakers last night, with most playing their usual allotment of minutes. We will take the Nuggets with the rest advantage tonight in the Bay Area.

The Warriors are averaging 106.2 points on the season in contests played with no rest. Golden State has exceeded 116.5 points in this situation once out of 12 games played on consecutive nights this season. The 10-point difference is predicated mostly on the Nuggets allowing over 118 points over their last 10 games.

However, Golden State has failed to eclipse 116.5 points in either of the two previous matchups against Denver this year and has averaged 113.2 points over the last nine meetings.

We wouldn't fault you for going the safer route and taking the points prop for Jokic, given he is averaging over 34 points in the last 10 contests. Having said that, the plus action on recording a triple-double seems way too enticing to pass up on.

Jokic has recorded a triple-double in four of the last seven games against Golden State. If Jamal Murray is not on the floor this evening, we feel even more confident about the chances of the Denver Center picking up his 32nd triple-double of the season.

Considering Draymond Green made two three-pointers last night, we are going back to the well on his over/under for shots made beyond the arc this evening. Green has only knocked down more than 1.5 three-pointers in six of his previous 17 games, and has not done so in consecutive contests since January.

Green averaged 1.2 three-pointers per game last month. He has connected on two or more baskets from beyond the arc in only seven of his last 28 contests.