NBA Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Thursday (11/3)
After an exciting few weeks in the NBA, there is more data to get ahead of the curve for player props and parlays. Each week, I will come at you with my favorite same-game parlay bets for your liking and win you some money throughout the season. With a two-game slate today, there aren’t too many options to build your perfect SGP, so remember to take it slow. You don’t want to blow your bankroll this early in the season.
Here are my two favorite same-game parlay bets for tonight’s slate.
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All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Golden State Warriors vs. Orlando Magic
- Leg 1: Paolo Banchero OVER 20.5 points (+100)
- Leg 2: Franz Wagner OVER 17.5 points (-110)
- Leg 3: Draymond Green OVER 5.5 assists (-130)
In a pace-up spot against the 20th-ranked defense, I expect the Magic offense to perform well tonight, despite its 27th-ranked offensive efficiency. If there is a team to have a solid offensive performance against, the Warriors are right up there. With Golden State ranking second in pace, Banchero and Wagner should both get plenty of possessions to score, and they will need to score a lot to keep up with Golden State.
Banchero has continued his solid rookie performance, averaging just shy of 22 points per game which makes the +100 solid value in my eyes. Wagner is averaging just shy of 16 points per game but has tallied 18-or-more points in four games, scoring in double-digit figures in all but one game so far this year.
On the other side, Green’s over assist total is projected as the best value on the slate with an expected value of 37% by the BettingPros Cheat Sheet calculator. If you’re feeling a bit more frisky, you can include Green over 6.5 assists instead, as I see him projected right around seven assists.
Parlay Odds: +575
Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Leg 1: Aaron Gordon 2+ assists (-170)
- Leg 2: Nikola Jokic 13+ rebounds (-135)
- Leg 3: Michael Porter Jr. OVER 6.5 rebounds (-145)
The Thunder actually has a solid defense, ranking third in defensive efficiency. So while I’m avoiding point totals for any parlay leg, their sixth-ranked pace of play means more possessions and extra opportunity for Nuggets players to be involved on the glass and with facilitating.
Oklahoma City has a middling offensive rebound rate, ranking 15th, with an overall rebound rate ranking lower at 22nd. Denver’s 10th-ranked rebounding rate should show out in this game, and I expect the two biggest beneficiaries of the mismatch on the glass to be Jokic and Porter Jr.
Denver also has the sixth-highest assist ratio in the NBA. With Aaron Gordon averaging just shy of two assists this season, I’m confident in his ability to reach a pair of assists tonight, given that his career numbers are higher in the category. This parlay is a bit safer, but I still see it as a solid value.
Parlay Odds: +380
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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.