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NBA Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (2/28)

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Here are our top two NBA same game parlay picks for Tuesday’s NBA action.

And here are our other top picks for Tuesday:

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Today’s Best NBA Same Game Parlay Picks

All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies

These two teams rank among the league leaders in Pace, but there are a couple of reasons this number is too high: LeBron isn’t playing, and the Grizzlies are at home. For the Lakers, James’ presence is crucial, as he is typically the reason their offense plays so fast, and his contribution on defense has been negligible this season (+0.2 Defensive Rating per 538). As for the Grizzlies, they’ve played ten home games this year with an O/U at or above 234, and the Under is 8-2 in such games. The cherry on top– both teams’ defenses have been suffocating of late, as the Lakers and Grizzlies rate third and fourth in Defensive Rating over their past five games.

I understand exactly what Malik Beasley’s job is for the Lakers– to shoot (and make) threes. But 3.5 is an absurd number. Beasley shoots a middling 35.9% from deep, and averages only 3.1 made attempts per game for the year. He certainly is capable of crushing this number (look no further than the 23rd in Golden State), but the price is too good to pass up, and his falling short of this number is directly correlated with our bet on the u235.5 total points.

Parlay Odds: +282

Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Clippers

The Wolves have lost three straight, and all losses can/ should be classified as inexcusable…but this number is too high. The spread has been bet down from MIN +7.5 at open, and it wouldn’t be so shocking if it continued to dip. There are only two games separating these two teams in the standings, and some season-long Advanced Metrics rate these teams as fairly even. Further, the Clippers haven’t been so great out of the All-Star break and may be playing on tired legs after having played three overtimes in two games. Let’s back the Wolves to keep it close.

Edwards had an off game in Golden State, but he’s still one of the NBA’s best young scorers, and the Clippers can’t stop anybody right now. Every recent roster move the Clippers have made (Russell Westbrook, Eric Gordon, Bones Hyland) negatively affects their defense, and this is inarguable if one has watched their past two games. The issue is that none of their guards are above-average defenders (see here for 538’s RAPTOR Player Ratings), with the exception of Terance Mann, whose minutes have been ceded to Russell Westbrook– one of the NBA’s worst defenders.

We’ll keep it brief regarding Kawhi: he is playing impeccable basketball right now. Leonard looks as good as ever and has consistently crossed this number since January. There’s no defender on the Wolves capable of keeping Kawhi off his game, if the shots fall this should cross with ease.

Parlay Odds: +571

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