NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (12/20)

Welcome to NBA Sleeper Picks! Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for tonight's NBA action. Similar to fantasy sports, the goal in Sleeper Picks is to draft a team of players based on who you think will perform better than the field. But with NBA Sleeper Picks, you pick teams of 2-8 players from multiple teams based on your preferences and predict whether those players will score more or less than a predetermined amount. There are a number of ways to play and a variety of strategies to employ, and we’ll guide you through the process each week. Here are our top NBA Sleeper Picks for today’s games.

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NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (12/20/24)

Regular season record: 77-36

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (G – OKC): OVER 24.5 points (alt line)

SGA continues to impress for the Thunder, averaging an MVP-level 30.5 points, 5.4 rebounds, 6.3 assists, 2.0 steals, and 1.0 blocks per game on .513 shooting. SGA has been filling it up for the Thunder, scoring 25 or more points in 17 of his last 18 games. He should continue to roll tonight against a Miami Heat team, relinquishing 22.51 points per game to the point guard position. Miami is actually one of the better teams in the league at limiting points against from the point guard position, but 22.51 is, of course, the average they allow. SGA is far enough removed from average that an extra three points should not be an issue to hit the alt line number. Slap the More on SGA for Friday night basketball.


Donovan Mitchell (G – CLE): OVER 3.5 assists (alt line)

Mitchell has been getting it done as a playmaker recently, dishing out five or more assists in eight of his last nine games. For context, this is something Mitchell did just once in his 12 games before that. The 3.5 is overkill, but the full total has climbed from 4.5 to 5.5, making the alt line a necessary evil as Donovan has hit six assists just once in his last three games. Dap the More on Donovan for Friday night's action.


Tyrese Maxey (G – PHI): OVER 19.5 points (alt line)

Tyrese Maxey exploded his last time out, dropping a 40 burger on the Charlotte Hornets. He gets them again tonight, making him an easy More play. The question is, do we tap the full line of 25.5 or the 19.5? Maxey has cleared the full number in just three of his last eight games but has hit 20 or more in six of them. He played Charlotte twice during that stretch, scoring 21 and 40 points. Mash the More on Maxey for Friday night at Sleeper Picks.


Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper (and sometimes expiring), so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.


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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.

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