Welcome to NBA Sleeper Picks! Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for tonight's NBA action. Similar to fantasy sports, the goal in Sleeper Picks is to draft a team of players based on who you think will perform better than the field. But with NBA Sleeper Picks, you pick teams of 2-8 players from multiple teams based on your preferences and predict whether those players will score more or less than a predetermined amount. There are a number of ways to play and a variety of strategies to employ, and we’ll guide you through the process each week. Here are our top NBA Sleeper Picks for today’s games.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (3/27/25)
Regular season record: 207-64
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (G – OKC): OVER 24.5 points (alt line)
The Thunder were the first team to hit 60 wins this season, and with 10 games left, a 65 win season seems all but certain. The massive lead they have in the competitive West should net Shai his first MVP award, but Nikola Jokic, having perhaps his best regular season of all time, has made the conversation interesting. SGA's incredible play this season has been well documented, but his development as a go-to scorer who extended his range has been truly remarkable. Shai has scored 25 or more points in 13 straight and in 35 of his last 37 games overall. He dropped 35, 32, and 41 points on Memphis in his three games against them this season. Slap the More on SGA for Thursday night basketball.
Paolo Banchero (F – ORL): OVER 24.5 points (alt line)
Orlando is batting for seventh place in the East, and the incredible scoring outburst by Paolo Banchero in the month of March may help them net an easier road out of the play-in. Banchero has poured in 30.2 points per game in March and has done so on .502 shooting, a massive improvement from his .427 field goal percentage prior to the all-star break. Paolo offers value on his full line of 29.5, but the suggestion here is to roll with probability and tap the 24.5 (or the 19.5 if you are more risk averse). Paolo has scored 30 or more points in six of his last seven games and 25 or more in 10 of his last 11. Push the More on Paolo for Thursday night at Sleeper Picks.
Donovan Mitchell (G – CLE): OVER 3.5 assists (alt line)
The Cavaliers got back on track after four straight losses to play-in teams, but there should be some level of concern after falling to opponents who have struggled all season. The Cavs have taken their losses in bunches, with the four game skid and a three game losing streak accounting for half of their losses on the season. The schedule is easy enough from here on out, but Donovan Mitchell needs to help ensure the Cavs are playing some of their best basketball of the season heading into the postseason. Donovan, for his part, has been struggling in the month of March, managing just 20.3 points on .333 shooting over nine games. However, after taking time off to deal with a groin injury, Donovan should be rearing to go against the San Antonio Spurs. Mitchell has dished out four or more assists in 11 of his last 13 and 21 of his last 25 games overall. Dap the More on Donovan for Thursday night's NBA action.
Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper (and sometimes expiring), so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.
Transform your betting strategy with Automated Line Tracking across all major markets and sports >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.
