Navigate

NFL Futures: Top Season Win Totals Odds & Picks

by |

The NFL schedule be revealed on the NFL Network in May, and while all teams know which opponents they will play at home and on the road at this point, the order of those opponents is a mystery for now.

That information will likely affect some preseason win totals, especially if teams are believed to have tough stretches of games or less-than-ideal bye weeks. However, we still have access to plenty of sportsbooks that have disclosed their initial 2024-25 NFL team win totals, and we have scoured those odds and offer our analysis on our best plays.

Read on for our best bets for the 2024-25 NFL season win totals.

NFL Season Win Total Picks

Odds for 2025 NFL Season Win Totals

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

TEAM WIN TOTALS (O/U)
Baltimore Ravens 11.5
Kansas City Chiefs 11.5
San Francisco 49ers 11.5
Buffalo Bills 10.5
Cincinnati Bengals 10.5
Dallas Cowboys 10.5
Detroit Lions 10.5
Green Bay Packers 10.5
Philadelphia Eagles 10.5

Buffalo Bills UNDER 10.5 Wins (-120)

The Buffalo Bills are one of nine teams at DraftKings with a projected double-digit win total, which is the most amount of teams with a preseason win total that high since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002. And while seven of those teams won 11-plus regular season games last year, we expect a lot more parity at the top, with Buffalo’s win total taking one of the biggest hits.

We are going against history with this pick, as the Bills have won 11 or more games in four straight seasons and have gone over their projected win total in all seven seasons with head coach Sean McDermott at the helm (the longest active such streak in the league). However, Josh Allen will be without Stefon Diggs for the first time in four seasons, and his 445 receptions were the most in the NFL during that span. It is hard to overstate how much of a security blanket Diggs was for Allen, as he was targeted 644 times in their tenure together, more than double any other player.

Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins are the only wide receivers on the roster with receptions from last season, and Samuel had the most scrimmage yards of the three with 625. Too much will be placed on rookie Keon Coleman’s plate early to act as a No. 1 wide receiver. The Bills are financially struggling to balance having to pay Josh Allen big money, which forced them to cut ties with veterans like Jordan Poyer, Micah Hyde, Leonard Floyd and Tre’Davious White on the defensive side of the ball.

Buffalo has a loaded schedule with non-division home games against the Jaguars, Chiefs and 49ers, plus road games against the Ravens, Lions and Texans. It may still contend for the AFC East title, but 11 wins is a lot to ask with that schedule and the team’s plethora of offseason personnel losses.

Chicago Bears OVER 8.5 Wins (-140)

Bears optimists place a lot of trust in rookie quarterback Caleb Williams to step in right away and continue the tradition of a proud franchise. He certainly has been surrounded by the weapons to make an impact. Williams will have the luxury of throwing to DJ Moore (1,364 receiving yards last season) and Keenan Allen (1,243 receiving yards last season). No top-five rookie quarterback has ever played with two 1,200-yard wide receivers as a rookie. That does not even take into account the impact that rookie receiver Rome Odunze out of Washington can have after being the third wide receiver drafted.

Under offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, the Bears’ offense ranked 23rd in points per game, 28th in yards per game and 30th in first downs in 2022. However, those numbers improved to 18th in points per game, 20th in yards per game and 17th in first downs last year.

The biggest reason for optimism in Chicago is actually not with an offensive resurgence but a defense that played outstanding football down the stretch of last season. In the last eight regular-season games in which the Bears went 5-3, the defense allowed 17.1 PPG (first), forced 19 takeaways (second) and allowed a 39 Total QBR (fourth). There will be plenty of competition from Detroit and Green Bay within the division, but nine wins should be attainable. C.J. Stroud showed last year what kind of an impact a rookie quarterback can have on a franchise.

Indianapolis Colts OVER 8.5 Wins (+110)

Much of the attention in the AFC South entering this season has been placed on the Houston Texans. Rightfully so, after their surprising division title and major offseason moves, like acquiring Stefon Diggs.

However, the Colts do not lack experience at the skill positions, as Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce, Josh Downs, Jonathan Taylor and Jelani Woods are all back as projected starters. Indianapolis averaged 23.3 points per game in 2023 (10th), with Gardner Minshew playing most of the season. Anthony Richardson is now back from an injury-shortened rookie season after undergoing surgery to repair an AC joint sprain in his right shoulder.

Division rival Tennessee’s outlook is also bleak after the team went 2-6 in its last eight games with Will Levis at the helm.

Indianapolis gets a break with four away games against teams with projected win totals of 6.5 or less (Giants, Broncos, Vikings and Patriots).

The Colts have produced winning seasons in four of the last six years. Should they go over their projected win total again, it would be the first time doing so in consecutive seasons since doing it three straight years in 2012-14. That is exactly what we expect to happen, and we are even more enticed by the generous plus-money odds to back the Over.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:

Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App