NFL Monday Night Football Best Bets & Picks (Rams vs. Dolphins)
On Monday Night Football in Week 10, the Los Angeles Rams host the Miami Dolphins. The Rams are 4-4 this season (3-5 against the spread), while the Dolphins are 2-6 and have the same record against the spread.
The Dolphins are coming off a 30-27 loss on the road to the Buffalo Bills, while the Rams beat the Seattle Seahawks on the road.
Below are my best bets for this game.
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Best Week 10 Monday Night Football Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Rams -2.5 (-110)
Looking at the injury report heading into this game, the Dolphins are without offensive lineman Austin Jackson, and several other players are questionable, highlighted by Tyreek Hill.
Hill didn’t practice Friday or Saturday and is looking quite doubtful for this one.
Without him, the Dolphins may need to rely more on running back De’Von Achane, and the Rams defense lately against running backs has been quite stout.
In the rushing department, the Rams are holding running backs to 4.04 yards per carry in each of the last four games. Over the last three games, running backs have been unable to score a rushing touchdown.
Achane is used through the air a lot, too, seeing eight targets in each of the last two games.
That said, no running back has scored against the Rams through the air. They’ve allowed four catches or more in two of the last three games, but no player has reached the end zone.
With Hill banged up, the Dolphins’ offensive line a bit beat up as well against a young pass rush from the Rams led by Jared Verse and Braden Fiske, and their defense against running backs lately, I’m taking the Rams.
Kyren Williams 2+ TDs (+240)
So far this season, the Dolphins are allowing 1.25 rushing touchdowns per game to running backs, and they’ve scored-be it on the ground or through the air-at least once every game.
The Dolphins have allowed multiple touchdowns to running backs in three games this season.
This season, Williams has scored eight times on the ground, twice through the air, and multiple times in two games.
I expect the Rams to lead here and rely on Williams often.
Of course, at +240 odds, this is far from a guarantee, but it’s shaping up to be more than doable, especially if Hill is out because that could lead the Dolphins to be further behind.
I’d put up half a unit on this.
Jonnu Smith Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
If Hill is out, the Dolphins will need to rely on other pass-catching options, and that could certainly be tight end Jonnu Smith.
The Rams are allowing five catches for nearly 60 yards per game to the position, including three touchdowns over the last four games.
Smith has also had some solid production lately, going for 35 yards or more in three of the last four games, including last week against the Bills.
In that same span, he’s seen six targets or more in each game.
Again, if Hill is out, I only expect this production to increase.