NFL Monday Night Football Betting Preview & Predictions: Packers vs. Raiders (Week 5)
Two historic franchises square off on Monday night in Vegas. Both the Packers and Raiders are off to disappointing starts on the season but there's reason to think that things can turn around for at least one of them.
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Green Bay Packers at Las Vegas Raiders
The Packers are coming off an 11 day rest period after they got thoroughly outplayed by the Lions last Thursday night. It was a game where the Lions were feasting in the Green Bay backfield, punishing an injured offensive line. A key to the Packers in this game will be to keep the Raiders away from QB Jordan Love. The good news is that the Raiders really haven't gotten their pass rush going. They rank only 27th in adjusted sack rate. When Love has gotten time in the pocket, he's been able to showcase the arm that made him a 1st round draft pick.
The defense for the Packers has struggled to stop the run. Last week the Lions were able to ice away the game in the second half on the ground. Green Bay's run defense ranks 25th in DVOA. Solid running teams can have a field day against them. Luckily for Green Bay, the Raiders are one of the worst running teams in the league. Las Vegas averages only 65.3 yards per game on the ground. RB Josh Jacobs had a huge year in 2022, but hasn't been able to follow it up with success in 2023, averaging only 2.7 yards per carry. This might be an opportunity for the Vegas run game to get going, but I don't think they can.
The Packers are a team with their flaws, but the Raiders aren't the kind of team that is capable of exploiting them. Jordan Love should be able to cook against this Raider defense and play from ahead most of this game. The Raiders won't be able to attack the poor run defense of Green Bay both due to game script and inability to run the ball in general.
Pick: Packers +2.5 (-110)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:
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