NFL Most Passing, Rushing & Receiving Yards Bets: Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)
The 2024 NFL regular season is several weeks away. However, it's time to get those preseason NFL bets in. While betting on team win totals, division winners, and award winners, betting on individual awards like Most Total Passing/Rushing/Receiving Yards futures can be extremely profitable.
Our panel of BettingPros analysts weighed in on where they’re placing their wagers for the skill players who rack up the most total yards at their positions. Here’s what they said.
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NFL Most Total Regular Season Passing Yards Picks
Trevor Lawrence (+2500)
The 2024 Jaguars offense has passing yards written all over it. Upgraded downfield threats with Brian Thomas and Gabe Davis. Trevor Lawrence was 1st in expected passing yards per game in 2023. The Jaguars QB ranked 5th in passing attempts per game (35.3) and 9th in passing yards per game last season (251), plus 4,000-plus passing yards in back-to-back seasons. By far the best longshot bet among potential passing yardage leaders.
-Andrew Erickson
Tua Tagovailoa (+850)
Tua led the league in this category last year with 4,624 yards, so +850 looks like a pretty good price. He has a terrific pair of receivers in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, and Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel is a sharp playcaller. But a big reason why I think Tua could approach 5,000 passing yards is Miami’s defense. The Dolphins lost a number of key defenders in the offseason — Christian Wilkins, Andrew Van Ginkel, Brandon Jones — along with defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, who went to the Eagles. A weakened defense could mean that Tua will have to do a lot of throwing to keep up with opponents.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Joe Burrow (+1200)
Burrow has finished top-six in passing yards twice already in his career, so expecting him to lead the dance in 2024 isn’t wild. This year, he is arguably surrounded by the best group of pass catchers of his career, with Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Jermaine Burton, Andrei Iosivas, and Mike Gesicki. Last year, when Burrow was healthy, the Bengals ranked third in neutral passing rate. Tons of receiving weapons plus a truckload of passing volume equals Burrow sitting atop the passing yards mountain.
-Derek Brown
Patrick Mahomes (+650)
We are just one season removed from 5,000 passing yards for Mahomes. The wide receiver room was retooled this off-season, and Mahomes has his eyes set on that 3-peat.
NFL Most Regular Season Total Rushing Yards
Jonathan Taylor (+750)
If I am going chalk, I’ll take Jonathan Taylor. Taylor has the second-shortest odds at +550, and it's hard to argue against him. He ranked 4th in rushing yards per game in 2023. And that was considering he came back late and split carries at times with Zack Moss. He also didn't play any full games with Anthony Richardson, whose mobility should further unlock JT as a rusher. The FantasyPros Projections have him for over 280 carries, which ranks 1st in the NFL. But if I am getting spicy – long shots are great here for a position as injury-prone as RB is – James Cook at 40-1 odds has my attention. Finished 4th in rushing yards last season. After Joe Brady installed a heavier “run-offense,†Cook was pacing for 1,200 yards on the ground from Week 11 onward.
-Andrew Erickson
For the same reasons Taylor is my favorite bet for Offensive Player of the Year, I think he’s the best choice for NFL rushing leader.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Derrick Henry (+1100)
Henry still has plenty of gas left in the tank for one more magical season. He has ranked inside the top two in rushing yards in the NFL four times in his career. The King can sit on the rushing yards throne one final time in 2024 in Baltimore’s run-first offense.
-Derek Brown
So, the best pure RB of the last decade is being dropped into the most run heavy offense in the league? Ok cool.
-Joe Pisapia
NFL Most Regular Season Total Receiving Yards
Ja’Marr Chase (+900)
See Chase for OPOY analysis. But if you want a long shot (who doesn’t), it’s Jaylen Waddle. Other than Stefon Diggs/Keenan Allen, Waddle is the only WR who ranks inside the top 10 in receiving yards per game over the last 2 seasons to have odds outside the top-12 WRs. If Hill takes a step back, we know exactly who will benefit the most. 37-1? Yes, please.
-Andrew Erickson
Marvin Harrison Jr. (+3000)
I’ll take the long odds on Arizona’s prized rookie. Harrison is the total package — a big, fast prodigy with a tireless work ethic and a my-ball mentality. He’ll be the Cardinals’ alpha receiver from Day One, and QB Kyler Murray is good enough to help Harrison shine.
-Pat Fitzmaurice
Justin Jefferson (+1000)
Jefferson’s odds are depressed because of worries around the quarterbacking for Minnesota for 2024. What if I told you that it didn’t matter and Jefferson was set to smash regardless? Tyreek Hill led the NFL with 1,799 receiving yards last year. Last year, in Weeks 1-4, with Jefferson playing a full-time role, he was on pace for 2,308 receiving yards. Yes, you read that right. Ok, but what about when he returned from injury with backup quarterbacks under center? Oh, well, over those final four games, Jefferson was on pace for 2,023 receiving yards. With T.J. Hockenson playing at less than 100% this season even after he returns and Jordan Addison failing to prove himself as a high-end target earner to this point, Jefferson should EAT regardless of who is under center in 2024.
-Derek Brown
CeeDee Lamb (+750)
Again, the sheer volume and NEED for this to happen for the Cowboys makes this a no-brainer pick for me.
-Joe Pisapia