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NFL Playoffs Anytime TD Scorers Picks & Predictions (Divisional Saturday)

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Let’s dive into our top NFL playoffs divisional round Saturday touchdown scorer picks and predictions. Here are our top anytime TD scorers picks and predictions for Saturday’s NFL games, Texans vs. Chiefs and Commanders vs. Lions.

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Best NFL Divisional Round Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets (Saturday)

NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets

Who will score a touchdown in this week’s NFL Games? The Anytime Touchdown market covers any player who carries or receives the ball into the end zone, not the quarterback who passes the ball. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify today’s best bets. View Anytime Touchdown odds across sportsbooks here.

Houston Texans Touchdown Pick

Nico Collins (WR - HOU)

The first game of the Divisional Round features the two-time defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City will host the Houston Texans in a rematch from their eight-point victory in Week 16. The Chiefs and Texans are two of five NFL teams that allowed 10 or fewer total touchdowns to opposing running backs this season. Because of that, I am steering clear of the running backs in this game. For my Texans pick, I am going with wide receiver Nico Collins.

While Collins has been much better at home than on the road, he has a favorable matchup on Saturday. Collins led all qualifying wideouts during the regular season with 4.36 yards per route run versus man coverage. Kansas City plays man coverage at one of the highest rates in the NFL. They have generally struggled against elite wide receivers. The Chiefs ranked 26th in the league in DVOA versus opponents ‘ top wide receivers. They also allowed 19 receiving scores to enemy wideouts, tied for sixth-most in the NFL.

Collins did not score in his previous meeting with Kansas City. However, he was targeted 10 times, so he will remain featured in Houston’s offense. The Texans have made a point of involving Collins early. Collins has scored in three of his last five games, and all three have been First Touchdowns. That makes his FTD price particularly appealing if Houston gets on the board first.

Kansas City Chiefs Touchdown Pick

Xavier Worthy (WR - KC)

Chiefs first-round rookie wide receiver Xavier Worthy looked like he was hitting a wall around midseason. However, the 21-year-old responded in a big way down the stretch of the regular season. Excluding Kansas City’s Week 18 game in which Worthy played just one snap, he earned double-digit opportunities (targets plus carries) in his last three regular-season games. Worthy scored in all three, one of which was the Week 16 game against the Houston Texans.

Houston allowed 31 passing touchdowns during the regular season. That was the third-highest number in the NFL. They allowed 21 scores to wide receivers while allowing 13.7 yards per reception to the position. Those numbers are top-four in the league and tops among the 14 playoff teams. Worthy has earned the trust of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes, and he will be ready to shine in his playoff debut. I like the chances of him scoring on Saturday.

Longshot Touchdown Pick

Patrick Mahomes (QB - KC)

I am going with Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes for my longshot touchdown pick for this game. Mahomes ran for a score in the Week 16 outing versus Houston. That score was the first touchdown of the game. A repeat performance would produce a massive 22-1 payout on FanDuel. But we are getting a great price on an Anytime Touchdown.

In his regular season career, Mahomes has averaged a rushing touchdown every eight games. However, he has always been more willing to use his legs during the playoffs. Mahomes has rushed for a score in five of 18 playoff games, or once every 3.6 games. Houston led the NFL in pass rush win rate during the regular season. They were led in that category by Edge rushers Danielle Hunter and Will Anderson Jr. This could force Mahomes to scramble even more than usual. Because of that, he is my favorite longshot touchdown pick in Saturday’s contest.

Anytime TD Scorer: Jahmyr Gibbs (-230)

While David Montgomery will return to the lineup after missing the final three games of the regular season, there is no reason to think Jahmyr Gibbs won't find the end zone against Washington. The second-year pro had 16 rushing touchdowns during the regular season, the most in the NFL. Furthermore, his 20 offensive scores were the most in the league. Gibbs had six touchdowns in the three games without Montgomery. However, he was productive all year.

Despite sharing the backfield with one of the more underrated running backs in the NFL, Gibbs found the end zone in 71.4% of the games he played with Montgomery. Furthermore, the former Alabama star had more games with at least two touchdowns (five) than contests without finding the end zone (four). Meanwhile, the Commanders gave up 16 rushing touchdowns to running backs during the regular season, the fifth-most in the league.

Anytime TD Scorer: Sam LaPorta (+140)

Last year, Sam LaPorta was one of the league's best-scoring players. He had 10 receiving scores, ranking fourth in the NFL and first among tight ends, averaging a touchdown once per 8.6 receptions. By comparison, the former Iowa star had seven receiving scores this season, ranking 21st in the league and fourth among tight ends, averaging a touchdown once per 8.6 catches. LaPorta finished second on the team in receiving touchdowns behind Amon-Ra St. Brown (12).

More importantly, the second-year tight end finished the regular season playing well, finding the end zone in two of the final three contests. Meanwhile, the Commanders' defense vastly improved this year from last season. However, they struggled to keep tight ends out of the end zone. Washington surrendered eight receiving touchdowns to tight ends during the regular season, the fifth-most in the NFL, including two over their final four contests.

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