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NFL Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (Conference Championships)

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The Super Bowl participants will be decided on Sunday night. The AFC takes the stage first, followed by the NFC. A do-it-all quarterback and a workhorse running back can steal the show in the first contest. San Francisco’s passing game should feast in the second game, and a dynamic rookie running back can strut his stuff for the Lions. Here are our top NFL same game parlay picks. And be sure to check out our NFL Same Game Parlay Builder.

Conference Championship Round Best Same Game Parlay Bets

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Kansas City Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens SGP

  • Leg 1: Lamar Jackson Over 206.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Leg 2: Lamar Jackson 50+ Rushing Yards (-350)
  • Leg 3: Isiah Pacheco Over 84.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-115)
  • Leg 4: Isiah Pacheco Over 7.5 Receiving Yards (-270)

After an electrifying dual-threat campaign, Lamar Jackson is a near shoo-in to win this year’s NFL MVP Award. According to Pro-Football-Reference, he averaged 229.9 passing yards per game and 51.3 rushing yards per game in the regular season. Including last week’s playoff contest, Jackson had medians of 223 passing yards and 45 rushing yards.

However, Jackson’s rushing production has surged in the postseason. In five playoff games in his career, Jackson has averaged 93.4 rushing yards per game. He had at least 50 rushing yards in four of those games.

Jackson doesn’t have an easy matchup this week. Nevertheless, the Chiefs have permitted quarterbacks 210 passing yards per game and 51.5 rushing yards per game in their previous four games. Thus, FantasyPros projects Jackson to have 220.2 passing yards and 56.9 rushing yards against the Chiefs.

Kansas City has had a relatively balanced offensive attack lately. According to RotoViz’s pace app, they’ve had a 54% situation-neutral pass rate and a 46% situation-neutral rush rate since Week 17. Their rates have aligned with Baltimore’s 55% situation-neutral pass rate and 45% situation-neutral rush rate against them since Week 16.

Isiah Pacheco has been the backfield’s workhorse. The second-year pro has had at least 15 touches in eight consecutive games and 13 of his past 14. The game-script-proof running back has had over 84.5 scrimmage yards in three straight games and six of his past seven.

In addition, Pacheco has had over 7.5 receiving yards in four of his previous six games. He had a median of 13 receiving yards this season. The matchup is excellent for him this week. Since Week 16, running backs have steamrolled the Ravens for 104.3 rushing yards per game, 5.1 yards per carry, 7.8 receptions per game and 48.3 receiving yards per game. So, Pacheco is projected to have 74.2 rushing yards and 15.8 receiving yards against the Ravens, putting him over 84.5 scrimmage yards and 7.5 receiving yards.

Parlay Odds: +420

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers SGP

  • Leg 1: Brock Purdy 250+ Passing Yards (-245)
  • Leg 2: Brandon Aiyuk 70+ Receiving Yards (-235)
  • Leg 3: George Kittle 50+ Receiving Yards (-210)
  • Leg 4: George Kittle Over 4.5 Receptions (-115)
  • Leg 5: Jahmyr Gibbs 75+ Rushing + Receiving Yards (-105)

Teams have taken to the air against the Lions and enjoyed great success. Detroit has faced an NFL-high 67% situation-neutral pass rate since Week 17. In that stretch, they coughed up 364.3 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks.

Brock Purdy is the next person up to torch them through the air. The second-year quarterback averaged 267.5 passing yards per game in the regular season and passed for 252 against the Packers last week. Purdy has also had a median of 255 passing yards this season.

The Lions will provide Purdy with less resistance than an average pass defense. Thus, Purdy’s projected to have 267.0 passing yards, which is essentially his average this season and slightly over his median.

George Kittle is one of Purdy’s pass-catching weapons that will barbecue the Lions. Kittle has averaged 64.8 receiving yards per game this season, with a median of 68. The stud tight end also averaged 4.1 receptions per game, with a median of three.

He has a tasty matchup against the Lions. Detroit has allowed tight ends 5.0 receptions per game and 60.8 receiving yards per game since Week 17. In a plus matchup, and potentially without Deebo Samuel jostling for opportunities, Kittle is projected to have 4.8 receptions and 61.6 receiving yards against the Lions.

Brandon Aiyuk would also benefit without Samuel. Nevertheless, his alternate line of 70+ receiving yards is mouthwatering, even if Samuel suits up. Aiyuk has averaged 80.8 receiving yards per game, with a median of 58 this season.

However, Detroit’s secondary was cooked by wideouts this year. Moreover, No. 1 wide receivers have killed them in the postseason. Puka Nacua had 181 receiving yards in the Wild Card Round, and Mike Evans had 147 in the Divisional Round. Therefore, Detroit hasn’t cleaned up their leaky secondary, and Aiyuk is projected to have 74.1 receiving yards.

Jahmyr Gibbs should be busy for the Lions in any game scripts. His involvement as the team’s pass-catching back alleviates concern about a negative game script impacting his production. The speedy rookie also shares rushing work with David Montgomery. So, Gibbs will have chances as a runner if the Lions are in a neutral or positive game script.

In Detroit’s previous four games, Gibbs has had 45 rush attempts for 172 rushing yards and nine receptions for 83 receiving yards. Those marks would leave him short of his prop. However, the 49ers aren’t a bad matchup. Since Week 16, running backs have had 75.3 rushing yards per game, 4.2 yards per carry, 3.8 receptions per game, 37.8 receiving yards per game and 10.1 yards per reception against the 49ers.

The Lions would be wise to lean on their running backs as long as the game script allows it. Gibbs is projected to have 52.0 rushing yards and 27.4 receiving yards against the 49ers, putting him over 75 scrimmage yards.

Parlay Odds: +550

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:


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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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