NFL Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Week 17)

by Sam Smith |
Dec 30, 2023

This is the penultimate week in the 2023 NFL regular season slate. With no Monday night football games this week, weâ€™ll have to make due with Saturday and Sunday matches.

Here are our favorite parlays for Week 17.

Best NFL Week 17 Same Game Parlay Bets

Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens

Leg 1: Dolphins +3.5 (-120)
Leg 2: Raheem Mostert Anytime TD (-105)
Leg 3: Tyreek Hill 8+ Receptions (+105)

In a showdown for the top overall seed in the AFC, I think the Dolphins will be able to win, or at least keep things close. The market has reacted strongly to Baltimoreâ€™s convincing win in San Francisco this past week, and I think this is a time to capitalize on the big swing in perception of the Ravens. Miami has won five of its past six games, including a win over Dallas this past week, and should give Baltimore a good game.

I love the odds on a Raheem Mostert touchdown: Heâ€™s scored in his past six games and is the main red zone threat for the Dolphinsâ€™ offense. I also love Hillâ€™s chances of having a big game. With no Jaylen Waddle, I think Hill should see plenty of targets and should be able to post 8+ receptions.

Parlay Odds: +480

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills

Leg 1: Patriots +14 (-110)
Leg 2: Josh Allen 1+ INT (-115)
Leg 3: Ezekiel Elliott 40+ Rush Yards (-210)

Buffalo has turned things around after a disappointing first half of the season. Theyâ€™re playing well lately, but this is exactly the kind of game where they could come out flat. They may not lose to New England, but I think the Patriots can cover the 14-point spread here. If the Bills are going to come out with a disappointing performance here, itâ€™ll probably involve an interception from Josh Allen, so I love adding that as a leg at -115.

Finally, if New England is hanging around late, I think theyâ€™ll keep feeding running back Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott has 11 or more carries in each of his past four games and should get a fair amount of work on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +315

Atlanta Falcons @ Chicago Bears

Leg 1: Bears ML (-140)
Leg 2: Taylor Heinicke 200+ Pass Yards (-110)
Leg 3: Justin Fields Anytime TD (+195)

This past week, Taylor Heinicke stepped in for the Falcons and played very well in a win over the Indianapolis Colts. While Heinicke clearly represents an upgrade over Desmond Ridder, I donâ€™t think heâ€™ll be enough to get the Falcons past the Bears this week. Chicago has rebounded in recent weeks, winning four of its past six games and still holding an outside chance at making the playoffs. Chicago should win handily at home.

I do think the Falcons will throw plenty, and Heinicke, who put up 230 yards this past week in a game where he didnâ€™t have to throw late, should have a nice statistical day. I also love Justin Fields to score a touchdown. Fields has scored in two of his past three games and loves to call his own number near the goal line.

Parlay Odds: +580

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

Leg 1: Texans -4.5 (-110)
Leg 2: CJ Stroud O264.5 Pass Yards (-115)
Leg 3: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+130)

With CJ Stroud healthy, and the Titans losing six of their past eight, this is a great spot for a big Texans win. Tennesseeâ€™s pass defense has been spotty this year, and Stroudâ€™s return to the lineup means the Texans should get back on track. I think the Texans offense has a big game and leads Houston to a huge win.

Stroud has thrown for more than 265 passing yards in each of the previous five games heâ€™s played (excluding the game where he got hurt) and I think heâ€™ll keep that streak alive this week. Nico Collins should also be the focal point of the Texansâ€™ passing game, and has scored in four of his past six games. I think heâ€™ll get another touchdown on the board this week.

Parlay Odds: +500

Las Vegas Raiders @ Indianapolis Colts

Leg 1: Colts -3.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Josh Downs U38.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Leg 3: Jonathan Taylor Anytime TD (-165)

The Colts had a big letdown this past week, missing a chance to take the AFC South lead by losing in Atlanta. I think theyâ€™ll get back on track this week, where theyâ€™ve won two consecutive games. The Raiders are coming off of back-to-back impressive wins, but Indianapolis is the better team and has more to play for in the thick of the AFC Playoff race.

While the Colts should have a solid game, I think Josh Downs unders are a good bet. Downs has cooled off in recent weeks after a hot start to the season. He put up 39 receiving yards this past week, and didnâ€™t break 38.5 yards in any of the prior three games. Running back Jonathan Taylor, on the other hand, is likely to have a big game. Zack Moss will miss the game, and Taylor has scored four total touchdowns in the past three games heâ€™s played in.

Parlay Odds: +350

Los Angeles Rams @ New York Giants

Leg 1: Rams -5.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Over 43.5 (-110)
Leg 3: Puka Nacua 60+ Rec Yards (-160)

This will be an interesting game, as the Giants turned to Tyrod Taylor as starting quarterback after weeks of Tommy DeVito under center. The Giantsâ€™ best moments on offense this year have come with Taylor at the helm, and he definitely gives them the best chance to win this week. Even still, I expect the Rams offense to stay hot, and for Los Angeles to pick up a big win this week. Matthew Stafford has been playing great lately, and while Taylor should give a bump to the Giantsâ€™ offense I donâ€™t think itâ€™ll be enough. I do think the total will go over 43.5, however, as both teams are bringing solid offenses into this game.

Puka Nacua has been Staffordâ€™s favorite target this year, and has gone for more than 60 yards in three of his past four games (including two games with more than 100 yards in that stretch). I think heâ€™ll be the focal point for the Ramsâ€™ passing game again this week, and should go over 60 yards again.

Parlay Odds: +380

San Francisco 49ers @ Washington Commanders

Leg 1: 49ers -14 (-110)
Leg 2: Over 49.5 (-110)
Leg 3: Christian McCaffrey 2+ TDs (+130)

Despite a big loss to the Ravens last week, San Francisco is still the best team in the NFL. They should have no problem handling Washington this week, who looked terrible in a loss to the Jets this past week and have lost six consecutive games. I expect this to be a get right spot for Brock Purdy and the 49ers offense, and they could run up the score. Going over 49.5 for the gameâ€™s total is an excellent play in my opinion, especially if garbage time late leads to some sloppy play.

If this game goes over, Christian McCaffrey is very likely to score multiple times. McCaffrey has emerged as an MVP candidate, and has scored 21 times this year. Even at +130, this is a solid bet.

Parlay Odds +400

Carolina Panthers @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Leg 1: Panthers +6.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Chuba Hubbard Anytime TD (+125)
Leg 3: Evan Engram 50+ Rec Yards (-170)

After a promising 8-3 start, the Jaguars are in a free fall. Theyâ€™ve lost four consecutive games, including a blowout loss to Tampa Bay this past week. Meanwhile, while Carolina is pacing to be the worst team in the league this year, theyâ€™ve turned a corner and have been competitive in their last few games. They pulled off a win over Atlanta two weeks ago, and took Green Bay down to the wire last week. I think a similar performance this week will be enough to hang within six points of Jacksonville. I also love Chuba Hubbardâ€™s chances of getting in the end zone if Carolina hangs close. Hubbard has four touchdowns in his past five games and has been the most effective offensive weapon for the Panthers lately.

Trevor Lawrence wonâ€™t play in this game, but tight end Evan Engram has had some big games recently â€“ 34 catches for 300 yards in his past four games. A similar gameplan this week should have Engram in position to break the 50-yard mark.

Parlay Odds: +370

Arizona Cardinals @ Philadelphia Eagles

Leg 1: Eagles -11.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Dâ€™Andre Swift 70+ Rush Yards (+100)
Leg 3: Trey McBride 6+ Receptions (-220)

Philadelphia has been up and down in recent weeks, but I expect theyâ€™ll get a big home win this week over Arizona. The Eagles looked dominant for the first half of this past weekâ€™s game against the Giants, and Arizona has struggled mightily in recent weeks. Part of the reason Arizona has struggled is the yardage theyâ€™ve allowed to opposing running backs. The Cardinals have allowed at least 112 rushing yards to opposing running backs in each of their [ast six games, and Dâ€™Andre Swift has at least 18 carries in each of his past two games. I think Swift is due for a big game this weekend.

I also think Trey McBride should stay hot â€“ heâ€™s had at least six catches in five of his past six games, and should see plenty of volume if the Cardinals trail early.

Parlay Odds: +360

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Leg 1: Buccaneers ML (-135)
Leg 2: Rachaad White 25+ Rec Yards (+105)
Leg 3: Mike Evans Anytime TD (+125)

Tampa Bay is hot, having won four consecutive games. The Saints, on the other hand, have lost four of their past six with the two wins coming at home against the Giants and Panthers. Buccaneers ML is one of my favorite bets of the week, as Tampa Bay is the superior team and is playing very well lately.

The passing game has been key for the Bucs in recent weeks, and I think both Rachaad White and Mike Evans will have solid receiving days. White has over 25 receiving yards in his past three games, while Evans has a touchdown in six of his past seven games. I think both players will reach those marks on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +585

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Seattle Seahawks

Leg 1: Seahawks ML (-165)
Leg 2: Kenneth Walker 60+ Rush YArds (-140)
Leg 3: George Pickens 4+ Receptions (-140)

After a big win over Cincinnati this past week, sentiment on the Steelers has been positive. Itâ€™s easy to forget that Pittsburgh was coming off a three-game losing streak, including losses to both the Cardinals and the Patriots. While itâ€™s always tough to bet against Mike Tomlin, I think Seattle will pick up a win here at home. Seattle has won their past two games, and need this win to hang in the NFC playoff race.

Pittsburgh allows over 100 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, and Kenneth Walker has 35 total carries over his past two games. Walker should see enough carries to break 60 rushing yards. George Pickens could also be in for another nice game. The Seahawks allow the eighth-most receptions per game to opposing wide receivers, and Pickens has at least siz targets in each of his past three games.

Parlay Odds: +265

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs

Leg 1: Bengals +6.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Patrick Mahomes 250+ Pass Yards (-185)
Leg 3: Rashee Rice 6+ Receptions (-140)

With the struggles the Chiefs have had in recent weeks â€“ especially on offense â€“ this is a great spot to take the points and bet Cincinnati. The Bengals got destroyed by Pittsburgh this past week, but had been on a three-game win streak prior to that. I think Jake Browning will keep the Bengals close and this will finish within a possession either way.

Even though the Chiefs have struggled, Cincinnati does has a poor pass defense. I also think this may be a game flow that forces Mahomes to throw. He should be able to clear 250 passing yards. This is also good news for Rashee Rice, who has six or more catches in each of his past five games. Rice should post six-plus catches again this week.

Parlay Odds: +315

Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos

Leg 1: Broncos ML (-180)
Leg 2: Under 36.5 (-105)
Leg 3: Jarrett Stidham O201.5 Pass Yards (-115)

On paper, this may be the least interesting game of the week. Itâ€™ll be a matchup with minimal playoff implications between two backup quarterbacks. That said, Denver has been winning games this year even without a great offense, and Jarrett Stidham may not be a massive drop-off from Russell Wilson. I think Stidham will post a solid statistical day against the Chargersâ€™ bad pass defense, and the Broncos will win the game.

I do expect this game to stay under the 36.5 point total, however. Wven if Stidham plays well, the Broncosâ€™ offense hasnâ€™t shown much explosiveness this year. And Easton Stick hasnâ€™t been too impressive for the Chargers either. This could be a sloppy, low scoring game.

Parlay Odds: +495

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:

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