NFL Sunday Night Football Player Prop Bets: Bengals vs. Chargers (Week 11)
Every NFL fan knows what's coming once the afternoon games conclude and Carrie Underwood starts singing. It is time for Sunday Night Football. Week 11 provides a dynamic showdown. The Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) duel with the Los Angeles Chargers (6-3) at SoFi Stadium. Here's a look at three-player prop bets that stick out from the rest in this collision of playoff hopefuls.
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Best NFL Week 11 Sunday Night Football Player Prop Bets: Bengals vs. Chargers
(Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Chase Brown UNDER 15.5 Rushing Attempts (-128)
Running back Chase Brown has stepped into a bigger role given Zack Moss’ neck injury, yet this line is too high. Brown has logged over 15 carries in just one of 10 contests this season, and it was a Cincinnati blowout victory versus Las Vegas. The Bengals held a two-score lead for the majority of the second half. The Chargers have excelled at pulling ahead early, boasting a first-quarter lead in eight of their nine clashes. It has forced an opposing passing play percentage of 60.5% (the sixth-highest rate in the NFL).
That puts Cincinnati in familiar territory as it has passed at the second-highest rate in the league across the last three weeks (67.1%). Simply put, the expected game script does Brown no favors on Sunday night. Remember that the Bengals also acquired running back Khalil Herbert at the trade deadline. The former Chicago Bear should steal a couple of carries following a week of practice with the offense. This is a great way to fade Brown, as another heavy dose of quarterback Joe Burrow should be anticipated.
Joshua Palmer Longest Reception OVER 18.5 Yards (-115)
There is a legitimate deep threat hidden in the Chargers’ middling offense this campaign. Wide receiver Joshua Palmer is averaging the third-most yards per reception in the NFL (19.0) and has recorded a grab of 24 yards or more in six straight contests. The fourth-year pro out of Tennessee has posted a career-high 13.7-yard average depth of target so far as well. He has had no trouble capitalizing when quarterback Justin Herbert goes his way and now draws a beneficial matchup against a shaky secondary.
Cincinnati has been tagged for a 20-yard catch by 15 different players through 10 games. One key reason the inability to make the opposing QB uncomfortable in the pocket. The Bengals’ defensive line ranks among the bottom 10 in hurry percentage (6.3%) and sacks (17). That means Herbert should have ample time to shuffle his feet and let deep routes develop before he hurls the football. The fact that Palmer could cash this wager as soon as L.A.’s first offensive drive only adds to the enticement.
Will Dissly Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+430)
This battle is chock full of consistent touchdown scorers. Wide Receiver Ja’Marr Chase and running back J.K. Dobbins come to mind. I’m opting to back an intriguing long-shot option to reach the end zone instead. Chargers tight end Will Dissly has seen a recent uptick in targets, averaging 6.2 per game over the past five weeks. Five looks have occurred within the 20-yard line. Sunday provides a perfect opportunity for Herbert to throw his first touchdown to a TE in 2024 after doing so seven times in 2023.
Take note that the Bengals have been getting torched by tight ends. During the previous four contests, They’ve conceded 247 yards and three touchdowns to the group of Baltimore’s Mark Andrews, Las Vegas’ Brock Bowers, Philadelphia’s Grant Calcaterra, and Cleveland’s David Njoku. Dissly may not have the same name recognition as some of those pros, but he has clear chemistry with his quarterback and an expansive route tree. His chances of scoring are higher than the +430 odds make it seem.