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NFL Sunday Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Divisional Round)

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The Lions and Buccaneers will open Sunday’s action, potentially with an aerial showing. The Bills and Chiefs are closing the Divisional Round. Their superstar quarterbacks could be busy as runners. Both games have eye-catching player props to choose from for same-game parlays (SGP).

Sunday’s Best Same Game Parlay Bets

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions SGP

Jared Goff is a handful for defenses when slinging the pigskin at home. According to Pro-Football-Reference, he averaged 280.0 passing yards per game at home in eight home games this season. He had a median of 275 passing yards and over 250 five times at home this season. Furthermore, Goff had a season-high 353 passing yards against the Buccaneers in Week 6.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was critical for Goff beating Tampa Bay’s blitz-heavy defense. The Sun God had 15 targets, 12 receptions and 124 receiving yards against the Bucs. He was also a stud at home. ARSB had 7.4 receptions per game and 105.7 receiving yards per game at home in seven games this season. St. Brown had over 91.5 receiving yards in six of his home games in the regular season and had over 7.5 receptions three times. In the opening round of the playoffs, he had seven receptions for 110 receiving yards. St. Brown should once again help Goff defeat Tampa Bay’s blitzes.

Baker Mayfield will almost certainly air it out often this week. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Buccaneers have had a 62% situation-neutral pass rate since Week 16, and the Lions have faced a 69% situation-neutral pass rate (the highest in the NFL by six percent). In addition, the Bucs had a 70% situation-neutral pass rate last week.

Mayfield made the most of the pass-happy approach last week, shredding the Eagles for 337 passing yards. He was on a heater down the stretch, eclipsing 250 passing yards in four of his previous five games, averaging 289.4 and posting a median of 309. The matchup is excellent, too. Since Week 10, the Lions have allowed 299.2 passing yards per game. Thus, FantasyPros projects Mayfield to have 256.8 passing yards against the Lions.

Mike Evans will almost assuredly be on the receiving end of many of Mayfield’s pass attempts. He averaged 73.8 receiving yards per game in the regular season, with a median of 66. He had at least 60 receiving yards in 10 of 17 games in the regular season. FantasyPros projects him to have 74.8 receiving yards against the Lions.

Parlay Odds: +415

Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills SGP

Josh Allen’s legs have been a critical component of Buffalo’s offense lately. Since Week 17, he’s had 44, 67 and 74 rushing yards. According to The 33rd Team, Allen had eight and nine designed runs in Buffalo’s final two games in the regular season and had at least four in the last five. Offensive coordinator Joe Brady has incorporated Allen’s running ability into the offense.

Buffalo’s dual-threat quarterback has also kicked up his rushing production in the playoffs. He’s averaged 54.6 rushing yards per game in nine career playoff games. He’s had over 42.5 rushing yards in six of nine playoff games, including both against the Chiefs. FantasyPros projects him to have 42.7 rushing yards against the Chiefs.

Patrick Mahomes doesn’t use his legs as often as Allen, but he cranks up the rushing production in the playoffs. He averaged a career-high 24.3 rushing yards per game in the regular season this year. However, Mahomes has averaged 28.3 rushing yards per game in 15 playoff games. He’s had at least 25 rushing yards in eight postseason games.

Circling back to the Bills, Dalton Kincaid and Khalil Shakir have played well lately. Since Week 16, Shakir was second, and Kincaid was first on the Bills in receiving yards, with 220 (55.0 per game) and 237 (59.3 per game), respectively. Shakir has had over 25 receiving yards in four consecutive games, and Kincaid has had over 40 in three straight. Shakir is projected to have 40.4 receiving yards against Kansas City, and Kincaid is projected to have 49.6.

Parlay Odds: +600

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Sunday:


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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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