NFL Thursday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks: Bears vs. Commanders (Week 5)

by John Supowitz |
Oct 05, 2023

Tonight we have two teams that need to win games. The Bearsâ€™ season could be over if they start the season 0-5, and at 2-2, the Commanders donâ€™t want to go under .500. Let's take a look at our top anytime touchdown scorer picks for Bears vs. Commanders.

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NFL Thursday Night Football Touchdown Scorer Picks

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Brian Robison -(115)

It's been a breakout season for Brian Robinson, as he has taken over the backfield and has 50 more carries than Antonio Gibson. The Bears have been one of the worst red zone defenses, with a third-worse 80% of opponent's red zone trips resulting in a touchdown. Robinson has been getting 57.1 % of the carries inside the red zone, so there's a good chance if he gets the ball, he's scoring.

Khalil Herbert (+195)

The Bears backfield looked convoluted to start the season, but Herbert has established himself as the lead back. He's steadily seen an increase in usage and has at least 60% of the snap share in two of the last three games. The Commanders run defense has been shaky this season, as they've allowed the fourth-most rushing touchdowns this year.

Curtis Samuel (+245)

Samuel has been great and is second on the team in receiving yards. His speed allows him to create separation, as he's fifth in target separation (2.50) and inside the top 20 in target premium. The Bears passing defense has been awful, allowing the second-most passing touchdowns and fourth-most passing yards. They also have a ton of injuries in the secondary, so Samuel will be seeing some favorable matchups.

Cole Kmet (+320)

Last week, Kmet blew up and led the team with two touchdowns to go with seven catches. With the Bears offense finally breaking out, this shows that they need to get Kmet more involved. Chicago's struggling pass defense should have multiple Bears grab receiving touchdowns tonight.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:

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