NFL Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Chargers vs. Broncos (2024)
The Los Angeles Chargers host the Denver Broncos to kick off Week 16.
The Broncos have won four straight games, while the Chargers have dropped their last two.
The Chargers are favored by 2.5 points. Against the spread (ATS), the Chargers are 9-4-1; the Broncos are 11-3.
Below is a same-game parlay (SGP) with +410 odds centered around the Broncos.
Let’s dive in.
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Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Chargers vs. Broncos
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook | All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated
- Leg 1: Broncos +2.5 (-105)
- Leg 2: Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
- Leg 3: Bo Nix 175+ Passing Yards (-425)
Denver Broncos +2.5 (-105)
This game is played between two teams in the same division that have both had solid defenses all season, so I’m going with the underdog.
The Broncos have the better season-long record and record against the spread.
Broncos quarterback Bo Nix has played well this season and has multiple touchdown strikes in four of his last five games.
These two teams are quite peculiar heading into this game in another way: Their performances on offense and defense over the last three games.
Over the last three games, the Broncos have allowed the most yards per game, while the Chargers’ offense has posted the fewest yards per game.
Both teams have a positive turnover differential this season. The Broncos have 49 sacks, the most in the NFL, while the Chargers have 40.
This is a toss-up of a game. Will the Broncos’ porous defense (of late) allow the Chargers to move the ball? Or will the Broncos’ defense stiffen up and slow down the Chargers’ offense?
Plan on this game being close either way with the Broncos having a great chance to win outright.
Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
Honestly, finding a surefire touchdown scorer in this game is somewhat tough, but if anyone is going to score, I’m leaning toward Courtland Sutton.
Over his last five games, Sutton has scored four times. This also includes three scores over his last three games.
Sutton is getting ample opportunities, seeing eight targets or more in every game since Week 7.
The Chargers’ coverage unit has allowed four touchdowns to wide receivers over the past two games, including three last week.
Sutton will likely match up mostly with Chargers cornerback Kristian Fulton, who allowed a touchdown last week.
Given his volume and the +170 odds, I like Sutton’s upside here.
Bo Nix 175+ Passing Yards (-425)
The final leg is a bit of a gimme.
Bo Nix had just 130 passing yards last week, but he’s thrown for 175+ yards in all but four games this season. Two of those games include his NFL starting debut in Week 1 and a Week 4 game that was played in monsoon-like weather against the New York Jets on the road.
Only two quarterbacks have failed to reach 175 yards against the Chargers this season. The last time was in Week 7 against the Arizona Cardinals.
The other game came in Week 2 against the Carolina Panthers and Bryce Young before his benching and subsequent resurgence.
This is the most likely leg of any to hit, as shown by the -425 line.
Parlay Odds: +410