NFL Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Steelers vs. Browns (2024)
Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season starts with the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns. The Steelers are 8-2 and in first place in the AFC North, while the Browns are 2-8 in the same division and in last place.
The Steelers are 3.5-point favorites in this one. The Steelers are 8-2 against the spread, while the Browns are 3-7.
Below is a Steelers-focused Same Game Parlay with odds of +305.
Let’s dive in.
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Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Steelers vs. Browns
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook | All bets are one unit unless otherwise stated)
- Leg 1: Steelers -3.5 (-110)
- Leg 2: Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+105)
- Leg 3: Jameis Winston Over 0.5 INTs (-215)
Steelers -3.5 (-110)
Maybe I’m missing something, but this feels way too good of a spread to pass up on.
The Steelers are coming off a win over the Baltimore Ravens, 18-16, and this week, they’ll face a Browns team that has the epitome of an up-and-down quarterback in Jameis Winston.
He had over 300 yards and three touchdowns against the Ravens. In the next game, he had three interceptions against the Los Angeles Chargers. Last week, the Browns lost to the New Orleans Saints 35-14, though Winston had two touchdowns, 395 passing yards, and no interceptions.
This week, he’ll face a Steelers defense that averages 1.1 interceptions per game and hasn’t allowed more than 207 passing yards in each of the last two games.
The Steelers also hold opposing running backs to just 3.97 yards per game. The Browns are a bottom-four rushing attack, averaging just 88.5 rushing yards per game.
Look for the Steelers to create some turnovers against Winston and come away with a win by a touchdown or more.
Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+105)
The Browns defense may have kept Saints running back Alvin Kamara out of the end zone, but over the last three games, they’ve surrendered three rushing scores.
As for Harris, he’s scored three times this season, and they’ve all come within the last five games.
He had just 18 carries for 63 yards, but the Ravens have the second-best run defense in the NFL, allowing just 61 yards per game.
Despite not scoring last week, he scored against Washington the week before.
Since Week 7, Harris has had at least 18 carries in every game.
I expect him to get plenty of action here in a game where the Steelers are favored, resulting in him finding the end zone.
Jameis Winston Over 0.5 INTs (-215)
The standalone odds of -215 aren’t great, but they’re a fine addition to a three-leg parlay.
As mentioned, Winston had three interceptions in a single game earlier this season against the Chargers, and the Steelers average more than one per game.
With the Browns as underdogs, Winston is likely to have to keep throwing at his current rate, which is at least 41 attempts in each of the last three games.
While Winston didn’t have an interception against the Saints or Ravens, there is one telling stat: turnover-worthy plays.
According to Pro Football Focus, Winston had three against Baltimore and one against the Saints.
So, it seems he probably got away with some errant throws.
That won’t happen against the Steelers. I’d take this bet even if it went to 1.5 INTs.
Parlay Odds: +305