NFL Week 1 Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Packers vs. Vikings (2022)
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NFL Week 1 Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Packers vs. Vikings
Aaron Jones Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Green Bay’s passing attack will look significantly different in 2022 after trading Davante Adams to the Raiders. In addition, Allen Lazard is doubtful, removing arguably the team’s No. 1 receiver from the mix. As a result, Jones might be Aaron Rodgers’ top weapon in the passing game.
He’s also shown he can erupt without Adams. According to 4For4 Football’s Market Share Splits App, Jones has averaged 6.7 targets, 5.1 receptions, 55.4 receiving yards, and 21.6 Air Yards in seven games without Adams from 2019 through 2021.
Jones’s Air Yards might not seem like many, but they’re indicative of being used downfield and not merely on swing passes. Further, he’s not just used out of the backfield, either.
According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Jones ran a route on 82.6% of his passing snaps, aligning inline 7.0% of the time, in the slot at a 7.0% clip, and wide 14.0% of the time. He was also tied for 12th out of 51 backs targeted at least 51 times with 1.52 Y/RR. So, Jones is an accomplished passing-game weapon. Jones will be integral to Green Bay’s offense, including their passing attack. So, it’s appealing wagering on his over at a modest -115 line.
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