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NFL Week 10 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below, I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone with a TD this week (excludes the Sunday night game).

Below are my results from the 2022 and 2023 seasons to date (assuming one unit per prop).

(Data per Fantasy Points Data | Odds as of Friday afternoon)

Compare touchdown stats to prop bet odds to help identify the best bets of the week >>

Season Week Units ROI Record
All Time -9.4 -5.5% 101 – 173
2022  All +8.8 +5.2% 68 – 102
2023 1  -2.2  -16.5% 4 – 9 
2023 2 -1.9 -15.4% 4 – 8
2023 3 -3.1 -25.8% 3 – 9
2023 4 -11.0 -100% 0 – 11
2023 5 +4.4 +39.7% 6 – 5
2023 6 -4.8 -39.8% 4 – 8
2023 7 -1.5 -15.0% 3 – 7
2023 8 +1.3 +10.0% 5 – 8
2023 9 +0.4 +4.4% 4 – 6

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Best NFL Week 10 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets

Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals

  • Marquise Brown
  • Anytime TD Odds: +185 at Pointsbet

QB Kyler Murray will return this week and that will be welcome news for WR Marquise Brown. In 7 healthy games that Murray and Brown played in last season, Brown averaged 10.3 targets per game and scored three TD’s. Brown’s targets have been there this season, but he has only caught 47% of those passes over the five weeks. The QB upgrade will help with Kyler returning this week. Over the last four weeks, Atlanta is tied with Tampa Bay for the most TD’s allowed to opposing WR’s (7).

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

  • Mark Andrews
  • Anytime TD Odds: +185 at Pointsbet

The Browns have the second lowest team total (16.25) this week, so I’ll side with someone on the Ravens side in the matchup. The Ravens are 6-point favorites at home coming off a dominant win over Seattle. They ran for nearly 300 yards and had 3 TD’s on the ground in that win. They’ll have a tougher challenge this week against a Browns defense that has allowed the fewest yards in the league this season. Andrews has been the top target in general and in the red zone over the last four weeks. He has three receiving TD’s during that span and a team high seven targets in the red zone. To add on, the last time these two teams played in Week 4, Andrews found the end zone twice.

Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals

  • Tyler Boyd
  • Anytime TD Odds: +200 at FanDuel

#1 WR Ja’Marr Chase has been nursing a back injury this week and his status for Sunday’s game is up in the air. Meanwhile, #2 WR Tee Higgins has already been ruled out with a hamstring injury. Veteran WR Tyler Boyd will need to step up in his place and he has already done so this season. In the three games prior to the bye where Higgins was limited or didn’t play, Boyd saw seven targets in each game. He also added a TD in Week 6. Even with the Bengals top two WR’s banged up, they have the second highest implied team total (26.75) of the week.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

  • Tony Pollard
  • Anytime TD Odds: -145 at Barstool

The schedule softens up for Tony Pollard to get back on track over the next few weeks. He has had a disappointing year from a fantasy football perspective through the first eight games. He only has two TD’s on the season, which both came against this Giants team in Week 1. The Giants will now have to start rookie QB out of Illinois Tommy Devito. Expectingly, the Cowboys are over two TD favorites at home. After seeing 15 touches last week against the Eagles compared to Rico Dowdle’s two touches, Pollard is still the clear top RB. He should find the end zone this week.

San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Deebo Samuel
  • Anytime TD Odds: +160 at DraftKings

The 49ers bye week came at the right time, after losing three straight games prior to the bye. It allowed more time for WR Deebo Samuel and LT Trent Williams to get healthy. Deebo has been a full participant and expects to be full go, while Trent Williams is still questionable. Even just a healthy Deebo will be an important boost for the 49ers offense. He averaged over 9 targets a game during the first three weeks of the season when he was healthy, so expect him to be involved after having the last three weeks off. The Jaguars rank in the bottom half of the league in terms of passing yards and TD’s allowed to WR’s.

Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Chargers

  • Quentin Johnston
  • Anytime TD Odds: +410 at FanDuel

Johnston saw an increased role due to fellow WR Josh Palmer being placed on IR last week but was unable to take advantage. This can be excused due to the matchup against the top ranked Jets secondary. The Jets lead the league in receiving yards allowed to WR’s (101.5 per game) and have only allowed 1 TD to a WR all season (Diggs in Week 1). That said, Johnston was the clear #2 WR last week, tying Keenan Allen in routes run. That added opportunity should lead to more production this week agains the Lions in a game environment that features that highest total of the week (48.5).

New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings

  • Josh Dobbs
  • Anytime TD Odds: +400 at DraftKings

Dobbs winning performance days after getting traded to the Vikings was well documented. He earned the opportunity to be the Vikings QB and should keep the Vikings offense afloat in place of Kirk Cousins. He has been particularly effective on the ground this year, scoring a rushing TD in each of his last three games. Dobbs should have another good chance to keep that trend moving this week. The Saints allowed the Bears’ rookie QB Tyson Bagent to run 8 times for 70 yards last week.

Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Aaron Jones
  • Anytime TD Odds: +160 at DraftKings

Jones finally was utilized like the best playmaker the Packers have on offense. He totaled 24 touches for 99 yards and a score last week, as HC Matt Lafleur did not limit Jones’ involvement as he had the prior two weeks. We should expect that to continue now that the hamstring injury is seemingly behind him. The Steelers have surrendered the fourth most rushing yards this season to RB’s, so Jones should have some room to run. The Packers need to win to avoid falling to 3 -6, so there should be no reason for Lafleur to not ride his best playmaker again this week.

Washington Commanders at Seattle Seahawks

  • Zach Charbonnet
  • Anytime TD Odds: +245 at DraftKings

The rookie second-round pick is still looking for his first TD of his career. After missing Week 7 with a hamstring injury, Charbonnet has played over 50% of the snaps in back to back games. It is hard to glean too much from the blowout loss to the Ravens last week, but it seems the Seahawks are looking to get their rookie RB more involved down as they enter the second half of the season. The Commanders’ defense didn’t get the memo that they were giving up on the season after trading their top two edge rushers prior to Week 9. They ended up beating the Patriots last week but their run defense did let Rhamondre Stevenson score on a long TD run. With the Seahawks 6-point favorites at home, Charbonnet could take advantage for the first TD of his career.

Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Chigoziem Okonkwo
  • Anytime TD Odds: +400 at FanDuel

Will Levis was named the starting QB moving forward after two promising starts over the last couple weeks. The Titans ranked fourth worst in the NFL in terms of passing yards per game (200.7) through the first six weeks prior to Levis taking over. Over the last two weeks, Levis is averaging 250 passing yards per game and has shown some flash throws. This should benefit all Titans pass catchers moving forward if he is able to continue to improve. Operating as the TE1, Okonkwo has had a disappointing season to date. He has yet to score or top 40 yards in any game, while averaging just over 4 targets a game. With Treylon Burks not expected to play Sunday, the Titans need secondary pass catchers to step up behind veteran DeAndre Hopkins. The Bucs have been gashed by TE’s (Kincaid and Schultz) over the last two weeks for two TD’s and 195 yards.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:

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