NFL Week 10 Betting Systems Picks & Predictions (2024)
There’s lots of value on the NFL betting board this weekend. I looked at the over 20,000 unique betting systems in the NFL and chose three bets that make a lot of sense for Sunday and Monday.
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Week 10 Best NFL Betting System Plays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pass Yds Over 6/10
The “Pass yds over 6/10†system is exactly what it says it is. Ultimately, the system looks for players who have exceeded their passing yards total in at least six of their last ten games.
Matthew Stafford has hit this number in two consecutive games with the Rams. He’ll take on a Dolphins team with a really poor sack percentage.
The Dolphins have added a sack on just 4.2% of plays and have earned a QB hit on 3.88% of plays. If Stafford has time in the pocket, he can deliver strikes down the field to either Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua and all the other deep threats the Rams have.
Again. Stafford has nailed this line in six of his last ten games and has earned at least 260 passing yards in three of his previous four.
Pick: Matthew Stafford Over 257.5 Passing Yards (-114)
NFL Rush Yds – Under v1
This next system, “NFL Rush Yds – Under v1, †earned a 25.9% ROI on 459 wagers. It’s won nearly 67% of the time and has added nearly 119 units of profit.
This system looks for players with a cost of -140 to +150 and needs players to go over their rushing yards in no more than two of the last five, four of the previous 10, and six of the previous 15.
Rhamondre Stevenson fits the description. He’s added at least 57 rushing yards in just 38% of games this season. He’s also earned 57 or more yards in only one of his last five games and has struggled against the Bears previously.
Stevenson has legitimately had two games where he’s added no more than 18 rushing yards over the last three games he’s played. I’ll gladly take his under against the Bears.
Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Under 56.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
NFL Recs – Low Overs
The final system for this NFL weekend is the “NFL Recs – Low Overs.†This system looks to take under for receptions when a player hits the Over in just one of the last five and three of the last ten games.
I’m eying Jalin Hyatt of the Giants to go Under. Hyatt has added one reception since September 8th. He also hasn’t had two receptions in any game since last season in late December. Hyatt is not really a major portion of the plans, with Slayton, Nabers, and Robinson as the main contributors.
It’s slightly juiced but worth it… even against the Panthers.
Pick: Jalin Hyatt Under 1.5 Receptions (-250)