Matthew Freedman’s NFL Week 10 Early Bets and Trends
For the past few NFL seasons, each Sunday night I've written an early bets piece highlighting some applicable trends I've noticed for the upcoming week.
I'm not a trends bettor, but I find that historical situational data helps me identify spots I should consider further when analyzing games.
So here are some trends for Week 10 as well as a few early bets I like based on the current lines in the market and my early personal projections, which I will update throughout the week along with our premium BettingPros spread projections.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Note: These aren't all the trends I'm seeing and all the early bets I like. These are just a few of them. For more of my early Week 10 bets, check out the BettingPros App.
All lines and odds are from the BettingPros NFL odds page and as of Nov. 6. All the historical trends information is from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).
Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (in Germany)
Check out our Seahawks vs. Buccaneers matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Nov. 13, 2022, 9:30 am ET
- Location: Allianz Arena
- TV: NFL
Seahawks vs. Buccaneers: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Buccaneers -1.5
- Over/Under: 44.5
- Moneyline: Buccaneers -120, Seahawks +100
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trend
- International Series Favorites: 23-14 ATS (22.0% ROI)
Seahawks vs. Buccaneers: Early Bet
- Best Line: Buccaneers -1 (-105, PointsBet)
- Early Projection: Buccaneers -3.5
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of -2.5.
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams
Check out our Cardinals at Rams matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Nov. 13, 2022, 4:25 pm ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium
- TV: FOX
Cardinals at Rams: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Rams -4
- Over/Under: 43.5
- Moneyline: Rams -195, Cardinals +160
Arizona Cardinals Trends
- HC Kliff Kingsbury: 19-8-2 ATS (34.3% ROI) on road
- HC Kliff Kingsbury: 21-10-2 ATS (29.8% ROI) as underdog
- HC Kliff Kingsbury: 15-4-2 ATS (47.9% ROI) as road underdog
Cardinals at Rams: Early Bet
- Best Line: Cardinals +4 (-107, PointsBet)
- Early Projection: Cardinals +3
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +3.
If you like a shorter underdog, historically it has been more profitable to bet it on the moneyline than against the spread. This has been the case for underdogs of less than a touchdown.
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Check out our Commanders at Eagles matchup page.
- Kickoff: Monday, Nov. 14, 2022, 8:15 pm ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field
- TV: ESPN
Commanders at Eagles: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Eagles -10.5
- Over/Under: 44.5
- Moneyline: Eagles -500, Commanders +375
Philadelphia Eagles Trend
- HC Nick Sirianni: 6-0-1 ATS (79.8% ROI) as home favorite
Commanders at Eagles: Early Bet
- Best Line: Eagles -10.5 (-110, DraftKings)
- Early Projection: Eagles -11.5
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of -10.5.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
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