NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Best Futures Bets (2023)
I have three plays for this weekâs NFL futures recommendations.
Two are playoff-centric, with the Saints to miss the playoffs and the Baltimore Ravens to hoist the Lombardi Trophy when itâs all said and done. The Saints are frankly not a good football team, with no impressive wins on their resumé and an argument to be made that they should have at least a couple more losses. On the other hand, the Ravens are an absolute wagon right now, as debatably the most complete team in the NFL.
The third bet is a shot on the Carolina Panthers to have the worst regular season record, as the Cardinals are the current favorites in that market despite the impending return of Kyler Murray and James Conner.
Letâs get more in-depth with my best future bets to make in Week 10 of the NFL season:
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NFL Week 10: Best Futures Bets
New Orleans Saints To Miss the Playoffs (+250 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Despite being the current NFC South leader, the Saints have not been the least bit impressive this season. Their five wins have come against the Titans, Panthers, Patriots, Colts and Bears â none of which will be sniffing a playoff spot. They have lost to the only two competent teams they have played, the Jaguars and Texans. Their additional losses against the Packers and Buccaneers donât inspire much confidence either.
They have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL, averaging the fourth-fewest yards per attempt and ranking in the bottom half of the league in net yards per pass attempt with the check-down king Derek Carr.
The NFC playoff picture figures to be a muddled mess down the stretch, but there are likely only two available spots for the Saints to potentially occupy, either by winning the NFC South or gabbing the seventh-seed and final Wild Card spot. Even though they have a game up on the Falcons, the Falcons have the easiest remaining schedule in the NFL, and Atlanta currently has the best division record in the South at 2-0. That leaves the last Wild Card spot, which may come down to the Saints-Vikings game this Sunday. Instead of taking the Vikings as a short ML underdog in that game, Iâll take the bigger number here on the Saints to miss the playoffs outright.
Carolina Panthers To Have the Worst Regular Season Record (+280 via FanDuel Sportsbook)
The Arizona Cardinals are the current favorite in this market at +200, even though they currently have the same amount of wins (1) as the Panthers. Carolinaâs offense has been slightly worse than Arizonaâs, with rookie QB Bryce Young ranking in the bottom-five in points per possession and scoring%, while also ranking second-worst in net yards per pass attempt. Their defense has also been atrocious, ranking third-worst in points allowed per possession and second-worst at generating turnovers.
Aside from that, the Cardinals have some key offensive reinforcements coming back, with Murray being activated from the IR and Conner on track to return in a few weeks. Even though Carolinaâs strength of schedule remaining is slightly easier than that of Arizonaâs, they are the less-talented team once Arizonaâs weapons return, with painfully obvious holes on both sides of the ball.
I also like that Arizona is under a first-year head coach in Jonathan Gannon, who has the incentive to win as many games as possible for his job security. Though this isnât necessarily just a race between these two teams, I see Carolina as the decidedly worst team in the NFL, and Iâll take them in this market before they become the favorite.
Baltimore Ravens To Win the Super Bowl (+950 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Ravens have an argument as the NFLâs most complete team at the moment, possessing a top-five unit on both sides of the ball. Their defense leads the NFL in points allowed per possession and ranks second in yards allowed per possession. They lead the NFL in sacks with 35, allowed the second-fewest first downs to be converted by their opponents, and allowed the fewest net yards per pass attempt to opposing QBs. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders under their first-year OC Todd Monken, scoring the sixth-most points per possession behind an offensive attack that ranks eighth in net yards per pass attempt and third in rushing yards per attempt.
Rookie WR Zay Flowers has added another dimension to this offense that was completely reliant on a TE-dependent passing game in years past. Their running game has also been as good as ever with an RB-by-committee approach combined with what Jackson can do with his legs.
Baltimore has wins over current playoff teams in the Bengals, Browns, Lions and Seahawks, with three of those wins coming by 25+ points. The Ravens are incredibly well-coached under John Harbaugh, with a dynamic offensive attack, one of the most stout defenses in the league, plus the most reliable and clutch kickers in recent memory. They have a legitimate shot at the No. 1 seed, making the AFC go through Baltimore to get to the Super Bowl. I think this is a great time to jump on their Super Bowl odds before the AFC playoff picture starts to come into focus.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:
- NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Best Futures Bets (2023)
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