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NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Longshot Bets (2023)

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Last week, the Cleveland Browns shut out the Arizona Cardinals, but they failed to win every quarter because they didn't score in the first. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens beat the Seattle Seahawks by 34 points (37-3), and CJ Stroud threw for 470 yards and five touchdowns.

Here are the best long-shot bets of Week 10 of the NFL season.

Best NFL Week 10 Longshot Bets

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Under 28 (+398)

Watching the Packers and Steelers play offense is a chore. In terms of yards per game, the Packers are ranked 24th, averaging exactly 300 yards per game. The Steelers are ranked 29th in both yards and points per game, averaging 278.5 yards and 16.6 points.

The Packers won 20-3 last week, but the offense struggled for the majority of their game against the Los Angeles Rams. The contest marked the sixth consecutive time that the Packers scored 20 or fewer points in a game. The Steelers beat the Titans 20-16, and it was their fourth time in five games scoring 20 or fewer points.

Defensively, both teams have been pretty reliable. The Packers are ranked 10th in the league, allowing just 19.9 points per game. The Steelers are ranked 13th, allowing an average of 20.4 points. As long as the offenses can limit the turnovers to a minimum, the defenses are going to keep this a really low-scoring game.

Dallas Cowboys to Win with Shutout (+800)

In Week 1, the Cowboys defeated the New York Giants 40-0 on Sunday Night Football. Since that game, things have only gotten worse for the Giants' offense. 

Tommy DeVito will start at quarterback this week, and if there's one thing he's proven this season, it's that he's not ready to be an NFL quarterback. On Sunday, he finished the game 15 for 20 with 175 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Those numbers don't look awful, but if you watched the game, you saw a quarterback who had no idea what he was doing until the Las Vegas Raiders started playing prevent defense.

Back when the Giants took on the New York Jets in Week 8, DeVito played a significant amount of time, but he finished 2 for 7 with -1 yards. The Cowboys' defense is incredibly good, especially against bad teams. They’ve had one shutout this season and they beat the New England Patriots 38-3. A field goal is worrisome, but we believe the Cowboys will be up by a lot when the Giants get into field goal range.

New England Patriots -3.5 + Rhamondre Stevenson 80+ Rushing Yards (+625)

The Patriots' nightmare season continued this past weekend. They led the Washington Commanders 14-10 entering the second half, but they were then outscored 10-3 to lose their seventh game of the season.

This week, they're in Germany and they're underdogs against the Indianapolis Colts. We're not so sure about that. The Colts have lost three of their last four, and they have been one of the hardest teams in the NFL to figure out. They scored 38 points against the Browns three weeks ago, arguably the best defense they've faced this season, and they beat the Ravens. But they also got destroyed at home by the New Orleans Saints, and the offense looked bad against the Carolina Panthers last week.

All that being said, we think the Patriots are going to win this game by a good margin and the main reason is Rhamondre Stevenson. Last week was Stevenson's first 80-yard game of the season and 64 of those yards came on one play. But the Patriots are finally going to have a game script that benefits him on Sunday. Not to mention, the Colts are 24th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:


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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.

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