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NFL Week 10 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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Let’s take a look at our top NFL Week 10 same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 10)

49ers vs. Jaguars

  • Jaguars +3 (-110)
  • Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD (-210)
  • Christian Kirk 6+ Catches (+110)

After a hot start to the season, San Francisco has lost three straight games. Two of these losses came to the Browns and Vikings, teams that the 49ers should be better than on paper. The Jaguars are trending in the other direction, winning five straight after a 1-2 start. Jacksonville has also just played one game in the 23 days leading up to this game, with a TNF game and a bye week scheduled in close in close proximity to each other. I expect the Jags to win this game, and I’ll take the 3 points with them playing at home.

Christian McCaffrey has scored a TD in every game he’s played for the 49ers – an insane 17 straight games. Even if the Jaguars win, this is a good bet – I’ll keep betting this until it doesn’t hit. While the 49ers defense has been good this year, they’ve surprisingly been weak against opposing WRs. They allow 16.1 receptions per game to opposing WRs – second-most in the NFL. With Christian Kirk averaging 8.1 targets per game over his last 7 games, I think Kirk 6+ receptions is a great bet.

Parlay Odds: +480

Saints vs. Vikings

  • Vikings +3 (-120)
  • Under 40.5 (-110)
  • Alvin Kamara U49.5 Rush Yards (-115)

In what’s shaping up to be an important game in the NFC playoff picture, I think Minnesota will be able to keep things close at home. They got a huge win last week when Josh Dobbs came in after just a few days on the team and led them to victory, and I think Dobbs can keep the magic going for one more week. Both of these defenses are also very solid, and I think the game should go under the total of 40.5 – and if the game goes under, the underdog is always a good bet.

Finally, I think Alvin Kamara will stay under his 49.5 yard rushing prop. Kamara is having a great season, but the Vikings are a top-five run defense in terms of yards per carry. Kamara averages just 3.6 yards per carry, and got only 9 carries last week. 

Parlay Odds: +360

Titans vs. Buccaneers

  • Over 39 (-110)
  • Will Levis 225+ Passing Yards (-110)
  • DeAndre Hopkins O4.5 Receptions (-120)

Will Levis made his debut two weeks ago, and has looked like a franchise QB in both games he’s played. Levis has thrown for 500 yards, 4 TDs, and 1 INT in the two game stretch. He’ll go against a Buccaneers defense that has struggled against opposing QBs this year, including last week’s game where CJ Stroud torched their defense for nearly 500 yards and 5 TDs. I expect Levis to have his best game yet on Sunday, and 225 yards is very attainable against the Bucs defense. I also expect a big game from DeAndre Hopkins – Levis has looked Hopkins way frequently, with 17 targets in the last two games. Similar volume will land Hopkins at 5+ catches easily on Sunday.

The Titans defense has been susceptible this year as well, and Baker Mayfield has been very solid for Tampa Bay – with a solid game from Levis, and a solid game from Mayfield, this game should go over the low total of 39 points.

Parlay Odds: +310

Browns vs. Ravens

  • Ravens -2.5 (-240)
  • Gus Edwards Anytime TD (+110)
  • Zay Flowers U42.5 Rec Yards (-115)

This should be an exciting divisional matchup, but I expect the Ravens to take care of business at home on Sunday. Baltimore is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning 4 straight games by an average margin of nearly 20 points. Cleveland has played well lately also, but they haven’t been quite as impressive as Baltimore. They also lost to the Ravens 28-3 at home earlier this year (though Deshaun Watson did miss that game with an injury). I think Baltimore will win, but I’m taking an alternate spread of -2.5 because I think this could be a close game.

Gus Edwards has been a workhorse in the red zone in recent weeks, scoring 5 TDs on 8 red zone carries over his last two games. I think he’ll get enough opportunities to score again Sunday. I also think Zay Flowers will go under his 42.5 yard prop – Flowers hasn’t had more than 20 yards in either of his last two games, and Cleveland is a top-3 defense in terms of opposing WR yardage allowed.

Parlay Odds: +360

Texans vs. Bengals

  • Texans +6.5 (-110)
  • Tank Dell 50+ Rec Yards (-160)
  • Tyler Boyd Any Time TD (+200)

This is going to be an interesting game between two teams who have been playing well lately. The Bengals have won four in a row, with three of those four wins coming against likely playoff teams. Houston, on the other hand, has won four of their last six. Their two losses in that stretch were both two-point losses on the road. The Bengals may win this game, but 6.5 points is a wide spread given how well the Texans have been playing lately – I think Houston can cover.

Tank Dell has broken 50 yards in four of his past six games, including a 114-yard, 2-TD explosion last week. I think he’ll have a nice game Sunday, with CJ Stroud playing well and Nico Collins trending toward missing the game. While it’s inversely correlated with Texans +6.5, Tyler Boyd Any Time TD at +200 is a great bet. Tee Higgins will miss Sunday’s game, and JaMarr Chase is hurt as well. Boyd should get plenty of usage, and has always been a dangerous red zone threat in his career.

Parlay Odds: +775

Packers vs. Steelers

  • Steelers ML (-180)
  • Aaron Jones 50+ Rush Yards (-130)
  • Jaylen Warren 4+ Receptions (+100)

Both of these teams have had up and down seasons, but I have much more faith in the Steelers than the Packers. Pittsburgh’s wins haven’t been pretty this year, but they’re 5-3 and have made a habit of winning close games. The Packers, on the other hand, are 3-5 and haven’t won on the road since Week 1 in Chicago. 

While the Steelers’ defense has been good, they’ve actually had more trouble stopping the run than Pittsburgh defenses usually do. They allow 113 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs – third-most in the NFL. They’re also in the worst quarter of the league in terms of yards allowed per carry. Aaron Jones is finally healthy, and saw 20 carries last week – he should have no problem breaking 50 yards on similar volume. Jaylen Warren has also seen increased involvement lately, and Green Bay allows a reception on 81.4% of RB targets. Warren should see enough targets to put up 4 receptions.

Parlay Odds: +545

Falcons vs. Cardinals

  • Falcons ML (-120)
  • Tyler Allgeier Anytime TD (+145)
  • Kyle Pitts U36.5 Rec Yards (-115)

This play is a bit of a “Arthur Smith is really committed to the bit” parlay, but there’s good value here. Tyler Allgeier has dominated short yardage touch share for the Falcons, and Arizona has allowed at least 26 points in 5 of the last 6 games. I like Allgeier’s odds to get a goal line carry or two and punch in a TD. Arizona also has one of the best defenses against opposing TEs in the NFL, allowing just 39 receiving yards per game to opposing TEs. With Kyle Pitts struggling to get involved at times, I think he stays under his 36.5 receiving yard prop.

I also think the Falcons win this game – they’ve been pretty average this year, but Arizona has been a bad team. Kyler Murray is making his return from an ACL injury, and while it’s impressive how quickly he’s recovered I expect his mobility to be limited and for there to be an adjustment period as he ramps up to game speed. Atlanta should get this win on the road.

Parlay Odds: +525

Lions vs. Chargers

  • Chargers +4.5 (-155)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs U37.5 Rush Yards (-115)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 100+ Rec Yards (+145)

While they’ve come against inferior competition (Bears and Jets), the Chargers have strung together two dominant wins. They’ve outscored their last two opponents by a combined score of 57-19, and seem to be back on track after a slow start to the year. Detroit is a good team, but this is a great chance to bet on a home underdog who’s been playing well. Los Angeles also has a top-ten run defense this season in terms of yards per carry. Jahmyr Gibbs has played well while David Montgomery has missed time with an injury, but with Montgomery back it’s unclear how much volume Gibbs will see. I think it’s more likely to be a negative surprise than a positive one. This combined with the Chargers run defense is a recipe for an under for Gibbs’ yardage prop.

While the Chargers have a nice run defense, they are bottom-five in terms of yardage allowed to opposing WRs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has gone over 100 yards in five of his last six games. He should see enough volume to make it six out of seven on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +470

Giants vs. Cowboys

  •  Cowboys -17.5 (-110)
  • Tony Pollard O69.5 Rush Yards (-115)
  • Tommy DeVito U160.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Somehow, 17.5 points doesn’t even feel like enough here. The Cowboys can be up and down at times, but they almost always blow out inferior teams when they’re at home. Given that the Giants lost to the Raiders, who had just fired their coach and replaced their QB, by 24 points last week, I think Dallas is a safe bet for a big win here. That should mean plenty of work for Tony Pollard. Pollard has struggled a bit this year, but he’s still averaging a respectable 4 yards per carry. The Giants are a bottom-five run defense in terms of yards per carry allowed, and I think Pollard could be in for a big day here.

I also expect Tommy DeVito to struggle. DeVito has not looked good this year, and barely went over 160 yards against Las Vegas’ poor pass defense. The Cowboys are a top-five defense in limiting opposing QBs passing yardage, and should hold DeVito under 160.5 yards on Sunday. 

Parlay Odds: +370

Commanders vs. Seahawks

  • Seahawks -5.5 (-110)
  • Seahawks Team Total O25.5 (-115)
  • Brian Robinson U43.5 Rush Yards (-115)

I expect a big win from Seattle here. This is a big game for them after they were blown out by Baltimore last week. Washington’s defense represents a great opportunity for them to get back on track. The Commanders have some solid wins in recent weeks, but they still have a bottom-five defense in yardage allowed to opposing QBs. This is even after three of their last four games were against Mac Jones, Tyrod Taylor, and Desmond Ridder. I think Seattle has a big day on offense and covers both the spread and their team total prop.

Brian Robinson has averaged just 8 attempts per game in the Commanders last three losses. If they find themselves down early, I expect his volume to be limited on Sunday. This, combined with Seattle’s solid run defense, is why I like Robinson to stay under 43.5 rushing yards.

Parlay Odds: +240

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:


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