NFL Week 11 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

The NFL slate has a lot of matchups that should ultimately be blowouts. There are already four games on the schedule with a spread of at least 9.5.

We’ll dodge those games and find some value elsewhere.

Here are a couple of best bets for Week 11 in the NFL.

Early NFL Week 11 Best Bets

All wagers are 1 unit.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans

The Houston Texans continue to roll behind C.J. Stroud. Stroud has thrown 15 touchdown passes with only two interceptions. He’s also improved his QBR to 63.2 on the season.

The Texans are now above .500 and shouldn’t have a problem moving the ball against the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona ranked below average in almost every defensive category this season.

On the other hand, while Kyler Murray didn’t add a passing touchdown last weekend, he helped push the Cardinals past the Falcons in his return to the field. Murray threw for just under 250 yards and looked very good for someone who hadn’t been on the field in over a year.

The Cardinals also had James Conner back, which completely helped the rushing game. It lacked so much when Conner left.

Therefore, I like the Over 48.5 in this matchup. Both quarterbacks could get to 28+. Stroud can do it with his arm, while Murray can do it with his feet.

Bet: Over 48.5 (-110)


Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams

At this time, it’s unclear if Matthew Stafford will be healthy enough for this game. If not, it’ll be Carson Wentz getting the start for the Rams.

Los Angeles will undoubtedly have an experienced quarterback start in this game. But let’s be cautious. The run game is still without Kyren Williams and ultimately just has a bunch of washed-up veterans. And if Wentz plays, they’ll have another washed up veteran at quarterback.

At 3-6 this season, the Rams are falling apart. The secondary hasn’t played well and the passing game hasn’t done much, especially with Cooper Kupp back on the field.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks haven’t been very impressive either. Seattle escaped with a 29-26 win against Washington and has still won three of their last four games. They had a poor loss to Baltimore, 37-3, but responded against the Commanders and scored 29.

If the Seahawks manage to score 29 against the Rams, they’ll win this game. Seattle’s defense has typically been good and should be able earn some turnovers against whoever is in the backfield.

Seattle is 6-3 and continues to find ways to win. Plus, they’re healthier than the Rams, who have concerns at quarterback. Seahawks fans travel well. I’m not worried that they’re on the road.

Let’s take Seattle -1.5.

Bet: Seahawks -1.5 (-120)


Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:

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