NFL Week 11 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)
Although Week 10 has yet to start, I’m analyzing the Week 11 matchups and trying to find some value.
Ultimately, the goal is to find the closing line value for Week 11 games before Week 10 games begin. We’re looking to predict the outcomes of Week 10 and then have much better, more valuable bets for Week 11.
For example, last week, we got the Eagles at -5.5 against the Cowboys, but now they’re -7. The 49ers were -5.5 and are now -6 against the Buccaneers. We’ll have some good value bets this week. Let’s do the same for Week 11.
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Early NFL Week 11 Best Bets
All wagers are 1 unit | (Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets
The Indianapolis Colts will face the Buffalo Bills in Week 10. The Bills are 7-2 and playing elite football, while the Colts struggled to score against the Vikings with Joe Flacco under center.
If the Colts lose to the Bills at home but the Jets defeat the Cardinals on the road, more money and line movement will move toward the Jets in Week 11.
The Jets finally won a game last week. If they begin a two-game winning streak, they’ll have a lot of believers. Let’s back the Jets at -4.5 for Week 11 against the Colts.
Bet: Jets -4.5 (-110)
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
The Green Bay Packers don’t play in Week 10. They’ve got a bye week. However, the Bears could totally hurt themselves ahead of this Week 11 matchup.
They’ll play the New England Patriots at home. If the Patriots stun the Bears, the money will pour on the Packers in Week 11, even with the Packers on the road.
The Packers will have a rested Jordan Love, who should be healthy enough with two weeks to recover.
Ultimately, Caleb Williams has shown no consistency, and the coaching staff isn’t connected to its players, either. Let’s give the Packers a go at -2.5. That could easily get to -3 after this weekend’s games. The best part of this is that the Packers can’t really hurt their value with a bye week. All eyes are on the Bears.
Bet: Packers -2.5 (-120)
Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys
Without Dak Prescott, the Dallas Cowboys will roll with Cooper Rush. The young signal caller won’t have it easy in a divisional matchup against their rivals, the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Eagles let things get out of hand last weekend against Jacksonville, but ultimately, the Eagles dominated for most of the game. If Rush and the Cowboys struggle to find consistency, the Texans will look like the better bet heading into Week 11.
Houston takes on Detroit. The expectations are pretty low. If Houston earns an upset, that would be huge. If not, as long as the Texans show a little fight, they’ll have backers.
Lets grab Houston at -6.5 on the road in Week 11.
Bet: Houston -6.5 (-110)