NFL Week 11 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions: Bears vs. Falcons (2022)

For the past few NFL seasons, each Sunday night I've written an early bets piece highlighting some applicable trends I've noticed for the upcoming week.

I'm not a trends bettor, but I find that historical situational data helps me identify spots I should consider further when analyzing games.

So here are some trends for Week 11 as well as a few early bets I like based on the current lines in the market and my early personal projections, which I will update throughout the week along with our premium BettingPros spread projections.

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

Note: These aren't all the trends I'm seeing and all the early bets I like. These are just a few of them. For more of my early Week 11 bets, check out the BettingPros App.

All lines and odds are from the BettingPros NFL odds page and as of Nov. 13. All the historical trends information is from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).

NFL Week 11 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions: Bears vs. Falcons

Check out our Bears at Falcons matchup page.

  • Kickoff: Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022, 1 pm ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • TV: FOX

Bears at Falcons: Consensus Lines

  • Spread: Falcons -3
  • Over/Under: 48.5
  • Moneyline: Falcons -205, Bears +150

Atlanta Falcons Trend

  • HC Arthur Smith: 3-9 ATS (43.0% ROI for faders) at home

Bears at Falcons: Early Bet

  • Best Line: Bears +3.5 (-110, DraftKings)
  • Early Projection: Bears +1.5

Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +4.

If you like a shorter underdog, historically it has been more profitable to bet it on the moneyline than against the spread. This has been the case for underdogs of less than a touchdown.

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

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